The 9-State Fencing Cup

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Chelsea Piers Athletic Club - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
2 SONG Aidan - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
3 ARMSTRONG Payson - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
3 CHO Adrian 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
5 LEE Harrison - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
6 KATS Brandon - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
7 CHEN Daniel - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
8 FRIZZELL Kai - 2% 11% 33% 40% 14%
9 TANG Colin - 1% 5% 21% 40% 28% 6%
10 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
11 SHAPIRO Samuel - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
12 BHANDARE Veer 1% 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
13 CHEN Evan - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
14 WU Matthew - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9%
15 KIM Louie 13% 31% 32% 17% 5% 1% -
16 ZHENG Jason - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
17 CHEN Tianjun - 1% 7% 21% 33% 28% 10%
18 DANA Miles 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
19 LAI Jayden - 3% 17% 35% 33% 11%
20 JIN Derek 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
21 SMITH Theo 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
22 HOREMIOTIS Bennett - 2% 11% 30% 37% 17% 2%
23 NOOL Aaron - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
24 YAKHNIS Seth - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
25 CHEN Jayden A 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
26 ROFINO Samuel 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 5% 1%
27 LI Nolan 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
28 YOON Jonathan 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
29 CAVALLARO Sebastian 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
30 ZHENG Jasper - 3% 14% 28% 32% 18% 4%
31 SHAO Mason 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
32 DAND Zahin 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
33 MASKIN Mikhail - - 2% 10% 32% 41% 14%
34 LANE Sawyer 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
35 GUJJA Rishabh 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
36 ZINCHUK Yuri - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
37 DIMOV Daniel - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
38 WILLIAMS Gavin 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
39 DAI Jason - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
40 LI Jayden 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
41 HAMILTON Tyler 18% 39% 31% 11% 1% -
42 MILLER Brodrick 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
43 CHEN Regis - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
44 MALLAKIS Efstathios 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
45 YAN Milan 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
46 KESELMAN Ron 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
47 SCOGGIN Charles 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% - -
48 KIM Brendan 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
49 YU MAXIMILIAN 2% 15% 35% 33% 12% 2% -
50 SHI Evan 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
51 CHEN Hayden - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
52 LAI Jaxon 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
53 GREGORY Milo 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
54 YAO Irvine 13% 35% 33% 15% 4% - -
55 RUDIGER George 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
56 YU George 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
57 LIN Aiden 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
58 LIU Kyle 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
58 QI Bryan 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
60 LANDMAN Martin 7% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
61 CHEN Boru 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.