The 9-State Fencing Cup

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Chelsea Piers Athletic Club - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
2 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 40%
3 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
3 CHO Adrian 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
5 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
6 KATS Brandon 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
7 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
8 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
9 TANG Colin 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 6%
10 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
11 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
12 BHANDARE Veer 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
13 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
14 WU Matthew 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9%
15 KIM Louie 100% 87% 56% 24% 6% 1% -
16 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
17 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 10%
18 DANA Miles 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
19 LAI Jayden 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
20 JIN Derek 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
21 SMITH Theo 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
22 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
23 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
24 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
25 CHEN Jayden A 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
26 ROFINO Samuel 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
27 LI Nolan 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
28 YOON Jonathan 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
29 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
30 ZHENG Jasper 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 22% 4%
31 SHAO Mason 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
32 DAND Zahin 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
33 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 14%
34 LANE Sawyer 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
35 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
36 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
37 DIMOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
38 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
39 DAI Jason 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
40 LI Jayden 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
41 HAMILTON Tyler 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
42 MILLER Brodrick 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
43 CHEN Regis 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
44 MALLAKIS Efstathios 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
45 YAN Milan 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
46 KESELMAN Ron 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
47 SCOGGIN Charles 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
48 KIM Brendan 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
49 YU MAXIMILIAN 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
50 SHI Evan 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
51 CHEN Hayden 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 29% 6%
52 LAI Jaxon 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
53 GREGORY Milo 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
54 YAO Irvine 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
55 RUDIGER George 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
56 YU George 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
57 LIN Aiden 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
58 LIU Kyle 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
58 QI Bryan 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
60 LANDMAN Martin 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
61 CHEN Boru 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.