The 9-State Fencing Cup

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Chelsea Piers Athletic Club - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUCAS William - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
2 KHANNA Adamantis - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
3 SONG Aidan - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
3 BRADY Jack - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
5 LAU Kyrus - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
6 SHAPIRO Leo 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
7 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
8 MOGUNOV Alan 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
9 BURENKOV Matthew - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
10 MIAO Heqi - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 3%
11 BEAL Colton - - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
12 STOLCKE Julian - 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
13 CHAN Ewan 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
14 HU Simon - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
15 HOWARTH Hayes 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
16 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
17 TITOV Zachary - - 1% 8% 32% 43% 16%
18 BROOKS Drake - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 11%
19 AVERY Marcus - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
20 LLOYD Max - 3% 16% 39% 33% 9% -
21 ARCHIBALD Zachary - - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
22 TERENTIEV Michael - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
23 ZHANG Howard - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
24 PATEL Rohan - - 5% 22% 41% 27% 5%
25 HAHN EVER - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
26 QIN Lucas - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
27 NARAYAN Rishi 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
28 BENNETT Lachlan 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
29 LEISTNER Armin - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
30 GAO Francis 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
31 SABINO Bennett - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
32 LEIGH Brayden 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
33 ALLEN Parker 21% 45% 27% 6% - -
34 SONG Jerry 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
35 BLAIR Campbell - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
36 MARTIRE Francis 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
37 LEE Shane Gunn - 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
38 WANG Harrison - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 2%
39 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5%
40 RAJ Adithya 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
41 LI Jayden 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
42 SEDAKA Dylan 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
43 LI Kent 9% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
44 GAW Christian 5% 26% 41% 22% 5% - -
45 LEE Davis 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
46 LI Sebastian 40% 40% 16% 3% - - -
47 LEE Jeffrey 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% -
48 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 1% 21% 41% 29% 8% 1%
49 BURNS Carson 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
50 CHEN Tyler 51% 39% 9% 1% - - -
51 DAI Ethan 19% 50% 25% 5% 1% - -
52 FAZELINIA Erfaan 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
53 MOROAICA Seiku - 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4%
54 RAJMOHAN Syon 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
55 GAW Zachary 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
56 KONG Ethan 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% -
57 SINHA Nalin 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
58 PEREZ Simon 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
59 LEE Weston 1% 10% 31% 39% 16% 2% -
60 KULJIEV Boyan 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
61 LI Felix 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.