The 9-State Fencing Cup

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Chelsea Piers Athletic Club - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUCAS William 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
2 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
3 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
3 BRADY Jack 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
5 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
6 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
7 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
8 MOGUNOV Alan 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
9 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
10 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
11 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
12 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1%
13 CHAN Ewan 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
14 HU Simon 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
15 HOWARTH Hayes 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
16 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
17 TITOV Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 16%
18 BROOKS Drake 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
19 AVERY Marcus 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 32%
20 LLOYD Max 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10% -
21 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
22 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
23 ZHANG Howard 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
24 PATEL Rohan 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 32% 5%
25 HAHN EVER 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
26 QIN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
27 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
28 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 6% -
29 LEISTNER Armin 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
30 GAO Francis 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
31 SABINO Bennett 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
32 LEIGH Brayden 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
33 ALLEN Parker 100% 79% 33% 6% 1% -
34 SONG Jerry 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
35 BLAIR Campbell 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
36 MARTIRE Francis 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
37 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
38 WANG Harrison 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
39 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
40 RAJ Adithya 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
41 LI Jayden 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
42 SEDAKA Dylan 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
43 LI Kent 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
44 GAW Christian 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% - -
45 LEE Davis 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
46 LI Sebastian 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
47 LEE Jeffrey 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% -
48 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 100% 99% 78% 37% 9% 1%
49 BURNS Carson 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
50 CHEN Tyler 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
51 DAI Ethan 100% 81% 31% 6% 1% - -
52 FAZELINIA Erfaan 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
53 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4%
54 RAJMOHAN Syon 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
55 GAW Zachary 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
56 KONG Ethan 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
57 SINHA Nalin 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
58 PEREZ Simon 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
59 LEE Weston 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 3% -
60 KULJIEV Boyan 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
61 LI Felix 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.