The 9-State Fencing Cup

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Chelsea Piers Athletic Club - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MORRILL William - - - - - 1% 99%
2 KIM Shaun M. - - - - - 9% 90%
3 FELDMAN Drew - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
3 KIM Ethan - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
5 SUGIURA Samuel - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 12%
6 YOOK Isaac - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 5%
7 ZHAO Lucas - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
8 KIM Theodore - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
9 SUBA Lucas - - 4% 17% 37% 35% 8%
10 WAXLER Ryan - - 4% 23% 46% 23% 3%
11 MANESCU Miron - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
12 CHUNG Connor - - - 2% 13% 38% 47%
12 LIN Maxim - - - 1% 12% 45% 42%
14 BALE ATMAN - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10% -
15 PINTO Marcus - - 6% 26% 44% 24%
16 WEISS Toby 1% 9% 39% 37% 12% 1% -
17 LIU Kevin - - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
18 CLARK Gabriel - - 2% 18% 44% 35% -
19 SHINCHUK Daniel - 3% 20% 40% 29% 7%
20 WANG Daniel - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 32%
21 ZHEXUAN yu - - - 3% 23% 49% 24%
22 KIARA Kinoti - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13% -
23 WEI William 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
24 SASSI Ilyas - - 8% 31% 44% 17% -
25 SAKAYEDA Jacob 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
26 FRANCOIS Alexander C. - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
27 BARENBOYM Michael 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
28 MEYERSON Jacob - - 2% 15% 48% 34%
29 CLARK Aram - 1% 5% 21% 39% 28% 6%
30 WONG Caleb W. - 3% 15% 35% 34% 13% -
31 ALMEDA Stanislav 1% 9% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
32 CRAWFORD William 8% 36% 37% 16% 3% - -
33 HUANG Maxwell H. 1% 8% 31% 43% 15% 2%
34 KATZ Ryan - - 2% 16% 48% 34%
35 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 5% -
36 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas - 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 3%
37 ATWOOD Griffin - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
38 JI Johnson 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
39 SAGE Sebastian - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
40 FIROOZI Sam 8% 39% 43% 9% 1% - -
41 KARAVAS Nicholas 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
41 AROUNA Ilan 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
43 QASBA Rudrh 6% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
44 DEELY Hartigan 1% 15% 39% 33% 11% 1%
45 FORSTED Ian 8% 31% 41% 18% 3% -
46 DE SIENA Salvatore 1% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
47 RIDKY Sam - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
48 BELAND Riley James "RJ" - 3% 22% 43% 27% 5% -
49 LIM Brandon - 2% 12% 28% 35% 19% 3%
50 GREENE Kevin 12% 32% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
51 MHLEY Gavin 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
52 CHU Kaden - 2% 17% 50% 27% 4% -
53 LORENZ Evan 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
54 NAJI Ethan 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
55 LIEU Nicholas 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
56 BRADBURY Noah 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
57 LIEBOWITZ Carson 5% 24% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
58 JIANG Terence 29% 45% 22% 4% - -
59 SAYAR Luke 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
60 HOWARD Demani 10% 43% 38% 8% 1% - -
60 WASCO Andrew 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
62 SARWAHI Viraat 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
62 GINGERY Julian 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
64 MENZIES Liam 61% 33% 5% - - -
65 KENNEDY Tomás 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
66 KRAYTMAN Matthew 19% 44% 30% 7% - -
67 GAO Kai 11% 44% 34% 10% 1% -
68 AMSTER Auren 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
68 WITHAM Leo 38% 48% 13% 1% - - -
70 CHEN Brendan 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
71 ZHANG Ray 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
72 RAJMOHAN Arya 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
73 HE Eric 38% 50% 12% 1% - - -
74 QUINTERO Mateo 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
75 KULKARNI Ishir 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.