The 9-State Fencing Cup

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Chelsea Piers Athletic Club - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
2 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
3 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
3 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
5 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
6 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
7 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
8 KIM Theodore 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
9 SUBA Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 8%
10 WAXLER Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 26% 3%
11 MANESCU Miron 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
12 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
12 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 42%
14 BALE ATMAN 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10% -
15 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 24%
16 WEISS Toby 100% 99% 90% 51% 14% 1% -
17 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 16%
18 CLARK Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35% -
19 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
20 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
21 ZHEXUAN yu 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 24%
22 KIARA Kinoti 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% -
23 WEI William 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
24 SASSI Ilyas 100% 100% 100% 92% 61% 17% -
25 SAKAYEDA Jacob 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
26 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
27 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 2% -
28 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 34%
29 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 6%
30 WONG Caleb W. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% -
31 ALMEDA Stanislav 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
32 CRAWFORD William 100% 92% 56% 19% 3% - -
33 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 99% 91% 60% 17% 2%
34 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 34%
35 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5% -
36 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
37 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
38 JI Johnson 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
39 SAGE Sebastian 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 5%
40 FIROOZI Sam 100% 92% 53% 10% 1% - -
41 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
41 AROUNA Ilan 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
43 QASBA Rudrh 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1% -
44 DEELY Hartigan 100% 99% 84% 44% 12% 1%
45 FORSTED Ian 100% 92% 61% 21% 3% -
46 DE SIENA Salvatore 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
47 RIDKY Sam 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
48 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 97% 75% 32% 5% -
49 LIM Brandon 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 3%
50 GREENE Kevin 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
51 MHLEY Gavin 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
52 CHU Kaden 100% 100% 98% 81% 31% 4% -
53 LORENZ Evan 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
54 NAJI Ethan 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
55 LIEU Nicholas 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
56 BRADBURY Noah 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
57 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
58 JIANG Terence 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
59 SAYAR Luke 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
60 HOWARD Demani 100% 90% 48% 9% 1% - -
60 WASCO Andrew 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
62 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
62 GINGERY Julian 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
64 MENZIES Liam 100% 39% 6% - - -
65 KENNEDY Tomás 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
66 KRAYTMAN Matthew 100% 81% 37% 7% - -
67 GAO Kai 100% 89% 46% 11% 1% -
68 AMSTER Auren 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
68 WITHAM Leo 100% 62% 14% 1% - - -
70 CHEN Brendan 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
71 ZHANG Ray 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 3% -
72 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
73 HE Eric 100% 62% 13% 1% - - -
74 QUINTERO Mateo 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
75 KULKARNI Ishir 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.