8th Annual Knights of the Black Flag

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHI Boris - 3% 16% 38% 34% 9%
2 VAUGHAN Paul - - 5% 22% 42% 30%
3 METTE Russell - 1% 17% 48% 29% 5%
3 MA Gangjin 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
5 STANTON Richard - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
6 BROWN Lucas - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
7 MCCONKEY Tristan - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
8 LAGEMANN Kurt - 5% 24% 41% 25% 5%
9 MCCONKEY Eric - 7% 32% 39% 18% 3%
10 MURPHY Jonathan - - - 2% 28% 48% 21%
11 HAYDEN Carter - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
12 XU Teresa 17% 39% 32% 11% 1% - -
13 CHRISTIAN John R. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
14 SCHRADER Joseph 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3%
15 BLACK John 45% 41% 12% 1% - -
16 FALLON Teddy 10% 45% 35% 9% 1% -
17 FULLER II Thomas - - 3% 39% 45% 13% -
18 MIZERNY Nicholas - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
19 OAKES Liam 13% 45% 32% 9% 1% -
20 KOKKER Thomas - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
21 CLARK Kaleb 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
22 MILLER Kiersten 19% 43% 31% 7% 1% - -
22 MEYER Joseph 12% 58% 26% 4% - - -
24 CHARLTON Owen 48% 39% 11% 1% - -
25 FOUST Abigail 16% 41% 34% 9% 1% - -
26 WATSON Kip 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.