8th Annual Knights of the Black Flag

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHI Boris 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
2 VAUGHAN Paul 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
3 METTE Russell 100% 100% 99% 81% 34% 5%
3 MA Gangjin 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% -
5 STANTON Richard 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
6 BROWN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
7 MCCONKEY Tristan 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
8 LAGEMANN Kurt 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 5%
9 MCCONKEY Eric 100% 100% 92% 60% 21% 3%
10 MURPHY Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 69% 21%
11 HAYDEN Carter 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
12 XU Teresa 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% - -
13 CHRISTIAN John R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
14 SCHRADER Joseph 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
15 BLACK John 100% 55% 14% 1% - -
16 FALLON Teddy 100% 90% 45% 10% 1% -
17 FULLER II Thomas 100% 100% 100% 97% 58% 13% -
18 MIZERNY Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
19 OAKES Liam 100% 87% 42% 10% 1% -
20 KOKKER Thomas 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
21 CLARK Kaleb 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
22 MILLER Kiersten 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% - -
22 MEYER Joseph 100% 88% 30% 5% - - -
24 CHARLTON Owen 100% 52% 13% 1% - -
25 FOUST Abigail 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% - -
26 WATSON Kip 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.