8th Annual Knights of the Black Flag

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHI Boris 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
2 VAUGHAN Paul 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 METTE Russell 100% 100% 99% 81% 34% 5%
3 MA Gangjin 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% -
5 STANTON Richard 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
6 BROWN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
7 MCCONKEY Tristan 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 12% 1%
8 LAGEMANN Kurt 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
9 MCCONKEY Eric 100% 100% 92% 60% 21% 3%
10 MURPHY Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 13%
11 HAYDEN Carter 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
12 XU Teresa 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% - -
13 CHRISTIAN John R. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
14 SCHRADER Joseph 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3%
15 BLACK John 100% 55% 14% 1% - -
16 FALLON Teddy 100% 90% 45% 10% 1% -
17 FULLER II Thomas 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 25% 4%
18 MIZERNY Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
19 OAKES Liam 100% 90% 48% 13% 2% -
20 KOKKER Thomas 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
21 CLARK Kaleb 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
22 MILLER Kiersten 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% - -
22 MEYER Joseph 100% 87% 31% 5% - - -
24 CHARLTON Owen 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
25 FOUST Abigail 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% - -
26 WATSON Kip 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.