University of Arizona - North Rec - Tucson, AZ, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
# | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
1 | BALDWIN Alexander | V D V V V D | V V V V V V | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
2 | KARAMAGA Ganza | V V V V V | V V V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
3 | LUNA Nathan | V V V V D D | V V V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
3 | FOISSET Jacob | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
5 | PERON Nicholas (Nick) A. | V V V V V V | V V D | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
5 | MANDEL Christian | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
7 | FISHER David | D V V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
8 | PITTMAN Stephen | V V D V V V | V V V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
9 | SMITH Samuel J. | V V V V V V | V D | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
10 | BINDER Ayven | V V V V D V | V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
11 | SCHWENK Cody D. | V D V V V D | V V D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
12 | DIMITROVA Tzvetelina | V V D D V V | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
13 | KUNKEL Logan | D V V V D V | V V D | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
14 | ORELUP Austin | V D D V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
15 | IRVING David | V V D V V D | V V D | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
16 | WOLCOTT Charlie A. | D V V V D | V V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
17 | PYE Emily | V V V V V D | D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
18 | FESTIN Michael G. | D V V V V V | V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
19 | WOOLCOCK Cash | V V V D D V | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
20 | HERRON Jonathan | V V V D V D | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
21 | TROMBLEY Matthew | D V V V D V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
21 | CHEN Lilianna | V D V V D V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
23 | LUCKEY Michael | V V D V D V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
24 | PABLO Jesse | V V V D V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
25 | DAVIS Julia | V D D V V V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
25 | SANDIRI Shanmukh Rishith | D D V V V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
28 | BEATY Trace | V D V D D V | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
29 | WELLING Cohen | V V V D D D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
30 | HOWIE Ryan | D D V V V D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
31 | BRANDT Jacob | V V D D D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
32 | CUEVAS Tom | D D V D V D | V D | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
33 | SANBORN Dimitri | D D V D V V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
34 | PEDERSEN Haakon | V D D V D V | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
35 | FELDMAN Louis | V D D D V V | D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
36 | CHEN Yuan | V D V D D V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
37 | SHARP Alexander | V V D D D D | D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
38 | PERON Logan | D D D D V V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
39 | CONWAY Collin | V V D D D D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 | |
40 | JOHN Jennifer | D V V D D D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
41 | BELTRAN Carissa | V D D D V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
42 | BARVICK Kathleen | D D D V V D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
43 | EASTWOOD Darin | D V D D V D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
44 | MARIKOS Christina | D D D D V | D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
45 | DUNCAN Nicholas | D D D D V D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
46 | PAOLI Geovanna | V D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
47 | KELLEHER Cash | D D V D D D | D | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
48 | WELLING Michael | D V D D D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
49 | HEWITT Christa | D D D D D V | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
50 | FAIR Elizabeth | D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
51 | CHEN Ngai Man | D D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
52 | MAZZOLA Michael | D D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
53 | ROLDAN Ethan | D D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
53 | NASR Arshia | D D D D D D | D | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
55 | WHITAKER Lauren | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
56 | WELLS Mikaela | D D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
---|---|---|---|
Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.