Event Results
Fall Foil FestivalSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | TOEWS Jackson | V V V V D | V V V V | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 2 | WAKEHAM Paul | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 3 | NAIDL Micah | V V V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 3 | SHELTON Olivia | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 5 | LINEBERRY Caden | V V V V V | V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 6 | FOSTERVOLD Castiel | V V V V V D | V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 7 | VELAZQUEZ Rosa | D V D V V | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 8 | SHUSTA Lily | D V V D V | V V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 9 | STELLPFLUG Zachary | V V D V V | D | 1.2 | 4 | +2.8 |
| 10 | JERNEY Agustina | D V V V V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 11 | BULLARD Sydney | V D D V V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 12 | KIM Ethen | V D V V D D | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 13 | LEGGETT Emilia | D D V D V V | V D | 1.0 | 3 | +2.0 |
| 14 | BELL Andrew | V D D D V D | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 15 | SUNDSBAK Evan | V D D D D | V D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 16 | HICKNER Gabe | V D D D D | V D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 17 | MARTZ Michael | D V D D V | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 18 | PETERSON Quinn | D D V V D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 19 | CHRISTIENSEN Jack | D V D D D V | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 20 | NEAS Derek | D D V D D | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 20 | FERRARA Asher | D V D D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 22 | CRUZ Cole | D D D V D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 23 | BALDERES Gavin | V D D D D D | D | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| 24 | WINTERS Linus | D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 25 | HELMICH Isabella | D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |