The 9-State Fencing Cup

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, October 20, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Chelsea Piers Athletic Club - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Joanna - - - - 2% 24% 73%
2 WANG CAROL - - - - 3% 23% 74%
3 WANG Amabel - - - 3% 44% 53%
3 FENG Audrey - - - 4% 30% 66%
5 FENG Grace - - - - 1% 17% 82%
6 SHENG Katherine - - - 2% 26% 72%
7 ZELDIN Nadia - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
8 YIN Chloe - - 4% 25% 57% 14%
9 CASCONE Emily - - - - 1% 14% 85%
10 HUANG Sophie - - 1% 8% 35% 48% 8%
11 CAO Amelie - 1% 6% 24% 41% 27% 2%
12 BO Iris - 4% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1%
13 BING Charlotte - - 2% 15% 46% 37%
14 FIELD Elizabeth - - 3% 18% 49% 30%
15 CASCONE Sophie - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
16 MCSHERRY Kayla - 1% 8% 30% 46% 16%
17 DIMATULAC Elise Ann - - - 7% 55% 38%
18 SHANG Arianna 4% 22% 41% 28% 5% < 1%
19 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya - 1% 10% 35% 44% 9%
20 LI Savannah - - 5% 28% 56% 10%
21 ZHU Ella 4% 25% 40% 25% 6% -
22 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
23 SHIN Elizabeth - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 2%
24 EPSTEIN Naomi 2% 14% 36% 36% 11% 1% -
25 ROBERTS Anastasia - 1% 7% 25% 40% 24% 2%
26 GENG Emma 17% 43% 33% 7% - -
27 POLING Katherine - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
28 WANG DINA C. - 1% 5% 21% 39% 29% 5%
29 LIU Caydence - - 7% 29% 45% 18% 1%
30 HARRIS Julia - - < 1% 1% 22% 77%
31 DE CASTRO Kai 2% 14% 37% 36% 10% 1%
32 COLE Sofia 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% -
33 SFINTESCU Emma 1% 11% 39% 37% 12% 1% -
34 BAULIN Zoya 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
35 JIANG Chloe - - 1% 9% 34% 49% 7%
36 FEDER Acadia - 6% 25% 38% 25% 6% -
37 LI Christina 3% 21% 40% 29% 7% -
38 MURPHY Genevieve 1% 14% 39% 36% 10% 1%
39 DOUGLAS Addison 5% 26% 41% 24% 4% -
40 GOODMAN Carden 3% 17% 36% 32% 12% 1% -
41 RAFFAELE Nancy 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1% -
42 COUAILLIER Lou 1% 11% 38% 44% 5% -
43 GOMEZ Sofia 13% 40% 35% 11% 1% -
44 MACKINTOSH Quinn 8% 33% 40% 17% 2% -
45 YOUM Amelia 3% 19% 42% 31% 5% -
46 WAN Celine 4% 37% 41% 16% 2% -
47 KOESTERS Cecilie 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
48 LIN Claire - 7% 32% 42% 17% 2% -
49 PEVZNER Sophia 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
50 JI Yuandao Dora 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
51 MULLER Amara - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% -
52 PRINZ-STRATEMAN Matilda 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
53 KANDALAFT Emma 4% 23% 43% 26% 4% -
54 ZHILKOV Anya 1% 13% 39% 37% 10% 1%
55 OLAWOYE Jadesola 4% 25% 40% 25% 5% -
56 OTTAVIANO Maris 16% 42% 34% 8% - -
56 STEWART Isla 38% 44% 16% 2% - -
58 LIANG Jasmine 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
59 SHUTZER Lily 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
60 PAEK Mila 17% 44% 30% 9% 1% - -
61 KIM Claire 6% 29% 41% 21% 3% -
62 KOESTERS Florentine 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
63 BENNETT Emi 26% 44% 25% 5% - -
64 WU Annie 13% 52% 29% 5% - - -
65 GUSTAFSSON Anna 64% 31% 4% - - - -
66 JUNCADELLA Lucy 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
67 BRADSHAW Tamira 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
68 VOROS Madeleine 24% 45% 26% 5% - -
69 KOH Emma 77% 21% 2% - - -
70 HUDSON Sophie 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
70 ALDREDGE Ginny Rebecca 1% 15% 41% 32% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.