The 9-State Fencing Cup

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, October 20, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Chelsea Piers Athletic Club - Stamford, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
3 NAYAK Antara 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
3 WONG Charlene 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
5 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
6 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
7 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
8 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 3%
9 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
10 YANNOPOULOS Pompie 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
11 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 100% 100% 91% 61% 21% 2%
12 ONG Lauren 100% 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 1%
13 NG Sophia 100% 99% 84% 50% 19% 4% -
14 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
15 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
16 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
17 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
18 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
19 KIM Audrey 100% 100% 95% 65% 24% 4% -
20 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
21 MAK Kaitlin 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 2%
22 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
23 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
24 LEIGH Adalene 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
25 RANJAN Diya 100% 99% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
26 ZONG Eliane 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
27 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
28 BOLT - TURNER Carmen 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
29 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
30 HU Anna 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
31 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
32 KHOST Maeve 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
33 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 31% 6%
34 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
35 LAFFY Lily 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
36 PASUPULETI Laya 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
37 AKULA Roszlynn 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
38 GUHA Surabhi 100% 99% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
39 TIAN Cynthia 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
40 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 99% 83% 44% 11% 1%
41 RIFKIN Lielle 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
42 QURESHI Fizzah 100% 61% 10% 1% - - -
43 SHI Chuqing 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
44 LEE Kaitlin 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
45 EJIOGU Adaugo 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
46 HOWARD Seren 100% 56% 8% - - - -
47 MADDISON Erica 100% 21% 2% - - - -
48 CHURCH Madeline 100% 37% 6% - - - -
49 ROBERTSON Szilvia 100% 32% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.