Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 O'DONNELL Breck 100% 100% 99% 86% 49% 12%
2 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 17%
3 GUMPRICH Joe P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 51%
3 SHEPHERD Conner M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
5 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 21%
6 TANG xianchi 100% 96% 65% 24% 4% < 1%
7 GU Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
8 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 2%
9 SEMP Iain 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
10 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 6%
11 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 100% 94% 47% 7%
12 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
13 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 100% 91% 59% 22% 3% -
14 EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
15 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
16 CONANT Aidan 100% 100% 95% 64% 23% 3%
17 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 93% 69% 30% 5%
18 FERGUSON Sam C. 100% 100% 87% 52% 17% 2%
19 CONRAD Matthew 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 10%
20 DEVINNEY Dale 100% 96% 74% 34% 6% -
21 MAHNKEN Thomas G. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
22 IVATURI Sivakrishna Nikhil 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
23 BOLTON Max 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
24 TERPENNING Sarah 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
25 DELEON Alyssia 100% 94% 67% 26% 4% -
26 KELLEY Cullan 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
27 INGLE Kate 100% 91% 54% 12% 1% -
28 BRUTON Vinton 100% 21% 2% - - -
29 PISTONE Leah 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
30 FUNK Ethan 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
31 HAVERSON Rana 100% 71% 25% 3% - -
32 KONTANIS Linus 100% 100% 89% 53% 15% 1%
33 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
34 FIGLOZZI Cordelia 100% 34% 5% - - -
35 JONES Zamauri 100% 97% 67% 21% 2% -
36 DEMPSEY Fiona 100% 98% 70% 19% 2% -
36 CLICK Joe 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
38 PARKER Joseph 100% 99% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
39 CRISPIN Haley 100% 24% 2% - - - -
40 WILLIAMS Morgan 100% 12% - - - -
40 BLUHM Kyle 100% 95% 74% 38% 9% 1%
42 FISHER Edward 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
43 GAGNON Charles 100% 99% 87% 48% 11% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.