Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HERMES Henry 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
2 NOLAN Tyler 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
3 DURKIN Hudson 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
3 TANG Justin 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
5 HINDS David E. 100% 99% 83% 45% 13% 1%
5 BOZARTH Alex 100% 100% 98% 81% 33% 5%
7 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
8 DILDA Griffin 100% 95% 61% 19% 3% < 1%
9 ZIMSKY James 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
10 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
11 CAMPBELL Paul 100% 100% 97% 77% 32% 3%
12 KONTANIS Linus 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
13 ANDERSON Sr. Danny R. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
14 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 96% 72% 31% 5% -
15 HAVERSON Civa 100% 69% 25% 5% - -
16 LUNDEN Espen 100% 95% 64% 23% 4% -
17 MILLER Luke 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 8%
18 GU Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
19 AVILA Heru 100% 96% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
20 SWENSON Jason 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
21 PALPANDIAN Ilanchezhian 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
22 NANAYAKKARA Damin 100% 95% 57% 16% 2% -
23 MATUSIAK JT 100% 80% 33% 7% 1% -
24 VOORHEES Owen 100% 98% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
25 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
26 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 14%
27 SMITH Gwyneth 100% 92% 40% 6% - -
28 KRECK Marie 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
29 MOORE Mary 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
30 KOVARI Kata 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
31 PISTONE Leah 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.