William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ABRAMKIN Tim | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 2 | LEE Ethan | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 3 | HINDS David E. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| 3 | REEDER Nicholas W. | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 5 | FORMY DUVAL Christopher | V V V V V D | V V D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 6 | SAE-TUNG Kevin | V D V V V V | V V D | 2.3 | 5 | +2.7 |
| 7 | PRICE Owen | V D V V D V | V V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 8 | ZIMSKY James | V V V D V D | V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 9 | DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel | D V V V V V | V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 10 | FERGUSON Sam C. | V D V V V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 11 | KELLEY Cullan | V D V V V D | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 12 | IVATURI Sivakrishna Nikhil | V V V V D D | V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 13 | MAHNKEN Thomas G. | V D V V D V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 14 | HOPSON Ethan | D D V V D V | V V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 15 | TOLENTINO SR. Francis | V V D D V D | V V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 16 | BOLTON Max | V V D D D | V V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 17 | EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. | V V V V V | D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 18 | MAHNKEN Thomas P. | V V V V D | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 19 | RAUSCHER Ryan | V D V D V V | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 20 | SIMPSON Gavin | V D D V V V | D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 21 | STEFFENSEN Lily | D V V D V V | V D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 22 | LEE Hans | V V D D V V | V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 23 | WATSON Raymond | D D V V V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 24 | TANG Justin | V D D D V V | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 25 | TERPENNING Sarah | D V D D V V | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 26 | BRUTON Vinton | D V D V D V | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 27 | INGLE Kate | D V V V D D | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 28 | WHITE Myles | V D D D V | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 29 | DEVINNEY Dale | D D V D V | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 30 | SO Lorenzo | V V D D D D | V D | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
| 31 | FISHER Edward | D D D D V V | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 32 | NANAYAKKARA Dinuth | D D D V D D | V D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 33 | ALLEN Lily | V D V D V D | D | 1.2 | 3 | +1.8 |
| 34 | PISTONE Leah | D V D V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 35 | LAU-ALLEN Macy | D V D D V D | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 36 | KONTANIS Linus | D D V V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 37 | BOZARTH Alex | D V V D D D | D | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| 38 | CONRAD Matthew | D V D D D | D | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| 39 | PARKER Joseph | V D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 39 | JONES Zamauri | V D D D D D | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 41 | CLICK Joe | D D D D D V | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 42 | CRISPIN Haley | D D V D D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 43 | FIGLOZZI Cordelia | D D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 44 | MITCHELL Robert | D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 45 | AKKALE Reyhan | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 46 | BLUHM Kyle | D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 47 | BOND Gabriel | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.