Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 27, 2024 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ABRAMKIN Tim - - 1% 10% 35% 43% 11%
2 LEE Ethan - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
3 HINDS David E. - - - 1% 9% 40% 50%
3 REEDER Nicholas W. 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
5 FORMY DUVAL Christopher - - - 2% 11% 39% 48%
6 SAE-TUNG Kevin 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
7 PRICE Owen - - 1% 8% 32% 48% 11%
8 ZIMSKY James - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 7%
9 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
10 FERGUSON Sam C. 1% 11% 32% 36% 18% 3%
11 KELLEY Cullan - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
12 IVATURI Sivakrishna Nikhil - - 2% 12% 36% 39% 11%
13 MAHNKEN Thomas G. - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
14 HOPSON Ethan 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
15 TOLENTINO SR. Francis - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 4%
16 BOLTON Max - 4% 20% 37% 30% 8%
17 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
18 MAHNKEN Thomas P. - 6% 30% 41% 20% 3%
19 RAUSCHER Ryan - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
20 SIMPSON Gavin - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
21 STEFFENSEN Lily 4% 22% 41% 26% 7% 1% -
22 LEE Hans 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
23 WATSON Raymond - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
24 TANG Justin - 11% 50% 31% 7% 1% -
25 TERPENNING Sarah 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
26 BRUTON Vinton 7% 29% 41% 19% 4% - -
27 INGLE Kate 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 1% -
28 WHITE Myles 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
29 DEVINNEY Dale 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
30 SO Lorenzo - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
31 FISHER Edward 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
32 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth - 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
33 ALLEN Lily 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
34 PISTONE Leah 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
35 LAU-ALLEN Macy 11% 41% 34% 12% 2% - -
36 KONTANIS Linus 1% 10% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
37 BOZARTH Alex - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 13%
38 CONRAD Matthew - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
39 PARKER Joseph 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
39 JONES Zamauri 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
41 CLICK Joe 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 3% -
42 CRISPIN Haley 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
43 FIGLOZZI Cordelia 55% 37% 8% 1% - - -
44 MITCHELL Robert 59% 33% 7% 1% - -
45 AKKALE Reyhan 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
46 BLUHM Kyle 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
47 BOND Gabriel 12% 40% 35% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.