COZMX Fencing ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, November 2, 2024 at 2:00 PM

San Joaquin County Fairgrounds - Stockton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	PENG Charlotte	-	-	1%	8%	26%	41%	24%
2	HOVAGHIMIAN Fira	-	-	1%	9%	28%	40%	22%
3	XIA Isabella	-	5%	20%	36%	28%	9%	1%
3	TIKHONOVA Vasilisa	-	-	4%	18%	36%	32%	10%
5	THERON Zoe	-	-	1%	9%	29%	40%	20%
6	LI Joy	-	-	3%	17%	36%	33%	10%
7	CHAN Ella	-	3%	15%	34%	32%	13%	2%
8	IDANAWANG Madison	8%	28%	36%	21%	6%	1%	-
9	LUO Miranda	-	-	1%	5%	20%	41%	33%
9	ZHOU Joi	-	-	3%	16%	35%	34%	11%
11	YU Sophie	-	2%	12%	30%	35%	17%	2%
12	NEUMANN Erika	-	-	5%	21%	37%	28%	8%
13	ZHENG Zoe	-	-	5%	22%	38%	28%	7%
14	CHO Karis	2%	12%	31%	34%	18%	4%	-
15	GUAN Adeline	-	-	1%	6%	26%	48%	20%
16	ZHANG Queeny	-	5%	26%	38%	24%	7%	1%
17	ZHU Yunyao	1%	8%	24%	35%	24%	8%	1%
17	WU Chingfei Amber	-	-	3%	13%	32%	37%	15%
19	PEDERSEN Haley	-	-	3%	15%	34%	34%	13%
20	GOEL Riyana	-	2%	11%	28%	35%	20%	4%
21	MATTUPALLI Ashwika	-	1%	8%	26%	37%	23%	5%
22	HSIAO Ariya	1%	9%	26%	35%	22%	6%	1%
23	TIKHONOVA Sofia	1%	6%	21%	34%	28%	10%	1%
24	LI Chelsea	-	2%	14%	33%	33%	15%	3%
25	HUGHES Bailey	14%	35%	32%	14%	3%	-	-
26	WANG Doreen	-	3%	14%	30%	33%	17%	3%
27	FANG Kelervia	1%	12%	40%	34%	11%	2%	-
28	DVOIRIS Maya	12%	32%	34%	17%	4%	-	-
29	KENSICKI Phoebe	-	2%	12%	30%	35%	18%	2%
30	IDANAWANG Allison	41%	42%	15%	2%	-	-	-
31	LIU Isabelle	3%	17%	33%	30%	14%	3%	-
32	DING Madison	2%	15%	35%	32%	13%	3%	-
33	KULKARNI myra	33%	49%	16%	2%	-	-	-
34	YANG Stephanie	-	2%	13%	39%	33%	11%	1%
35	BEOHAR Anika	8%	45%	34%	10%	2%	-	-
36	LI Audrey	21%	39%	28%	10%	2%	-	-
37	HART Brennan	22%	39%	28%	10%	2%	-	-
38	BHANGOO Paloma	59%	34%	6%	-	-	-	-
39	OTAEGI Elorri	11%	35%	35%	16%	3%	-	-
40	OSENENKO Mia	2%	14%	33%	34%	14%	3%	-
41	MALIUANAG Aerin	36%	47%	15%	2%	-	-	-
42	TAI Taphanie	14%	42%	32%	10%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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