All Saints Day Tournament

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 2, 2024 at 3:30 PM

CFFA - Tileston Gym at St. Mary - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DONNELLY Enzo 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
2 JONES Jackson 100% 98% 85% 50% 11% < 1%
3 RUSSELL James 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
3 DILDA Griffin 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
5 ODEA Ryan 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
6 NOLAN Tyler 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
7 SANFORD Kenyatta L. 100% 100% 99% 87% 45% 5%
8 BICKTA Joshua 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% -
9 UNZHAKOV Konstantin 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
10 WHITE Taylor 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
11 DAVIS Andrew 100% 100% 100% 93% 51% 10%
12 CRAWFORD Charles (Marston) M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
13 GOLDER Christiane 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1% -
14 JULIEN Erica 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
15 BASNIGHT Eden 100% 90% 50% 13% 1% -
16 SZOPINSKI Jonathan 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
17 GERASIMOVA Vasilisa 100% 85% 35% 6% - -
18 THIELEN Thomas 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
19 THIELEN Joseph 100% 66% 24% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.