Mr. Mac Cup 2019

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, June 2, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Burlington Middle School - BURLINGTON, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
2 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 44%
3 DIVENTI Paul W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
3 BARLETTA Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 35%
5 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
6 KIM Tei D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 38%
7 SACCOCCIO Nicholas P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
8 GOGUEN-COMPAGNONI Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
9 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 29%
10 HU Robin 100% 99% 91% 59% 19% 2%
11 DESOLA Aidan J. 100% 97% 79% 39% 7% -
12 GUO Sean 100% 95% 59% 20% 4% - -
13 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 98% 79% 38% 8% 1%
14 CAI Oliver K. 100% 95% 72% 32% 5% -
15 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
16 DAUM Charlie 100% 90% 50% 14% 2% -
17 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 100% 73% 29% 5% - -
18 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
19 HILMER Michael 100% 91% 58% 20% 2% -
20 FINN Mark T. 100% 87% 50% 14% 1% -
21 WHITEHEAD Amir 100% 95% 68% 26% 3% -
22 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 1%
23 WERWA Griffith 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
24 HARPER Tyler 100% 29% 3% - - - -
25 ARANA Massimo 100% 47% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.