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Event Results

Div III Men's Saber

March NACSurprise Map

Sunday, March 3, 2019 at 3:00 PM Cleveland, OH · Cleveland, OH, USA
124 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 GILLIGAN Wolff V V V V V V V V V V V V 4.1 6 +1.9
2 NG Jonathan H. V V V V D V V V V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
3 PAN Andrew W. V V D V V V V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
3 CHEN Oscar V V V V V D V V V V V D 3.1 5 +1.9
5 OWENS William V V V V V V V V V V D 4.4 6 +1.6
6 STONE Jack V. V V V V V V V V V V D 4.5 6 +1.5
7 YANG Richard V V D D V V V V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
8 REYES Xavier M. D V V D D D V V V V D 4.6 2 -2.6
9 CHAMBERS Amir E. V V V V V V V V D 5.0 6 +1.0
10 WUN William V V V V V V V V V D 4.5 6 +1.5
11 LIU David J. V V V V V D V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
12 GREENBAUM Ian L. V V D V V V V V V D 3.1 5 +1.9
13 JEAN Noe T. V V V D V V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
14 HUANG Eric V V D V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
15 DIACOS Jordan D V V V V V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
16 CHAN Daniel V V V V D V V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
17 DESAI Drewv D. V V V V V V V D 3.9 6 +2.1
18 MENG Xiang V V V V V V V V D 4.4 6 +1.6
19 CHANG Colin S. V V V V V V V V D 3.6 6 +2.4
20 MYERS Kaleb S. D V V V V V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
20 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. V V V V V D V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
22 QUAN Nicholas V V D V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
22 ALTIRS Alexander V V D V V V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
24 JARAMILLO Tobias L. V V V V D V V V D 5.3 5 -0.3
25 BRUSIE Christopher R. D V V V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
26 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. D V V V V V V D 4.0 4 -
27 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. V D V V V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
28 ZHOU Justin V D V V V D V V D 4.7 4 -0.7
29 RABINKOV Anthony V V D D V V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
30 PARK Collin D. V V V D D D V V D 4.8 3 -1.8
31 GOODWIN Keith D. D V D D V D V V D 3.1 2 -1.1
32 HENNICKE Michael G. V D D D V D V V D 3.8 2 -1.8
33 WESLER Logan A. V V V V V V D 2.9 6 +3.1
34 RESHEIDAT Malik V V V V V V V D 3.1 6 +2.9
35 HAMMERSTROM Jared D V V V V V V D 2.9 5 +2.1
36 ATEFI Daniel V V D V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
37 CARLISLE Austin M. V V V D V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
38 MORRIS Samuel A. D V V V V V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
39 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. V V V D V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
40 TRAVERS Samir T. D V D V V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
40 BERGER Oliver V V V V D D V D 4.8 4 -0.8
42 LASORSA Matthew V V V V D D V D 4.2 4 -0.2
43 CHEONG Heonjae D D V V V V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
44 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. D D V V V V V D 5.2 4 -1.2
45 FRANKEL Yitzchok A. V V D V V D V D 3.9 4 +0.1
45 KEEFE Duncan V V V V D D V D 2.9 4 +1.1
45 DURKIN joseph V D D V V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
48 LUKASHENKO Darii V D V V D V V D 5.1 4 -1.1
49 MORRILL Justin V D V V V D V D 3.5 4 +0.5
49 XU William V V D D V V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
51 CHIN Matthew W. V V V D D V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
52 TANN Justin V V D D V V V D 4.0 4 -
53 CHEN Leo V V D V D V V D 5.0 4 -1.0
54 DU Gavin J. D D V V V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
55 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. D D V V D V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
56 HOUTZ Jackson V V D D D V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
57 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. D V V D V D V D 5.0 3 -2.0
57 LIU kelly D D V D V V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
59 BARBER William S. D D D V V V V D 3.6 3 -0.6
60 KIM-COGAN Ryan V V D V D D V D 3.4 3 -0.4
61 BONSELL Vance V D V D D V V D 1.9 3 +1.1
62 LICHT Aaron H. V V V D D D V D 4.2 3 -1.2
63 RAJA Arnav D D D D V V V D 4.5 2 -2.5
64 LUCZKOW Arman D V D D V D V D 3.4 2 -1.4
65 PINTO Gabriel R. V D V V V D D 2.3 4 +1.7
66 TONG ZACHARY D D V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
67 GOLD Jackson D V D V D V D 2.7 3 +0.3
68 PETRAMALE Samuel J. D D V V D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
69 PREJEAN Patrick J. V D V V D D D 3.5 3 -0.5
70 LEE Conner M. V V D D V D D 3.2 3 -0.2
71 CARTER Jackson D D V D V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
72 OWENS Harrison J. D V V D D V D 3.2 3 -0.2
73 BERUBE Jesse L. D V D D V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
74 ELIN Adam E. D V D D V D 0.9 2 +1.1
75 NARANJO David E. V V D D D D 1.8 2 +0.2
76 ZHOU Kevin D V D V D D D 3.4 2 -1.4
77 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. D V D D D V D 2.5 2 -0.5
78 GHENEA George Philipe V V D D D D D 2.0 2 -
79 LI Joshua L. V D D V D D D 3.0 2 -1.0
80 SAMMI Mukund D V D D V D D 1.9 2 +0.1
81 ZHOU Miles D D D V D V D 1.8 2 +0.2
82 BERMAN Luca D D V D V D D 4.5 2 -2.5
83 COX Luis E. D V D D D V D 2.9 2 -0.9
84 ALKIN Isaac D D D V D V D 2.9 2 -0.9
85 ZHOU Aeres Z. D D V V D D D 2.1 2 -0.1
85 HUANG Tyler T. D D V D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
87 COLLINS Andrew M. D D V D D V D 1.5 2 +0.5
88 HONG Vincent Q. D V V D D D D 1.6 2 +0.4
89 PLAGA Quinn D D V V D D D 1.2 2 +0.8
90 LU Caleb Q. D D D D V V D 2.0 2 -
91 GARCIA Ryan D V D D V D D 1.3 2 +0.7
92 ZHANG Michael (Jiayuan) D D D D V V D 1.6 2 +0.4
93 SMITH Vaughn D D V D D V D 0.6 2 +1.4
94 NEVILLE James V D V D D D D 0.6 2 +1.4
95 ROPER Evan C. V D D D D D 3.5 1 -2.5
96 PLONKA Derek V D D D D D 2.8 1 -1.8
97 PEARSON James G. D D D V D D 1.4 1 -0.4
98 DELARUE NELSON Y. V D D D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
99 LU Jiayi (Charlie) D D V D D D D 3.1 1 -2.1
100 SWORDS Evan F. D D V D D D D 2.2 1 -1.2
101 BULL Anderson V D D D D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
102 TREFNEY Albert D D D D V D D 2.0 1 -1.0
102 LU Evan D D D V D D D 2.8 1 -1.8
104 FOX Nicholas D D D V D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
104 SHASHA zane D D D D V D D 1.7 1 -0.7
106 KARPINSKI Michael A. V D D D D D D 2.3 1 -1.3
107 RYAN Will D D D V D D D 1.0 1 -
108 TIERNO Thomas J. D D V D D D D 2.2 1 -1.2
109 BURNS Jackson P. V D D D D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
109 WANG Andy D D D V D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
111 BIRKS Evan D. D V D D D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
112 CHEN Leon D V D D D D D 0.7 1 +0.3
113 ZHOU KaiLun Allen D D V D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
114 ADHIKARI Anubhav D D V D D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
115 TIMMINS Daniel R. D D V D D D D 3.2 1 -2.2
116 WONG Ethan D D D D V D D 1.8 1 -0.8
117 LEUNG Nathan D D D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4
118 STEVENS Jeffrey D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
119 EPSTEIN Oliver D. D D D D D D D 2.1 0 -2.1
119 NIELANDER Elliot S. D D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
121 HODGES Calvin D D D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3
122 HAYES Tyler D D D D D D D 0.2 0 -0.2
123 COOK Aidan J. D D D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4
124 XIONG Jitong D D D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%