March NAC

Div III Men's Saber

Sunday, March 3, 2019 at 3:00 PM

Cleveland, OH - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GILLIGAN Wolff - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
2 NG Jonathan H. - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 17%
3 PAN Andrew W. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
3 CHEN Oscar - 3% 25% 40% 25% 7% 1%
5 OWENS William - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
6 STONE Jack V. - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
7 YANG Richard - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
8 REYES Xavier M. - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
9 CHAMBERS Amir E. - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 32%
10 WUN William - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
11 LIU David J. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
12 GREENBAUM Ian L. - 5% 22% 38% 26% 7% 1%
13 JEAN Noe T. - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
14 HUANG Eric - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
15 DIACOS Jordan - - 6% 25% 44% 24%
16 CHAN Daniel 1% 13% 39% 34% 11% 1%
17 DESAI Drewv D. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
18 MENG Xiang - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
19 CHANG Colin S. - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
20 MYERS Kaleb S. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
20 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
22 QUAN Nicholas - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
22 ALTIRS Alexander - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
24 JARAMILLO Tobias L. - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
25 BRUSIE Christopher R. - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
26 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
27 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. - 4% 22% 42% 27% 5%
28 ZHOU Justin - - 1% 7% 29% 46% 18%
29 RABINKOV Anthony 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 9% 1%
30 PARK Collin D. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
31 GOODWIN Keith D. 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
32 HENNICKE Michael G. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 6%
33 WESLER Logan A. - 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% < 1%
34 RESHEIDAT Malik 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
35 HAMMERSTROM Jared 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
36 ATEFI Daniel - 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
37 CARLISLE Austin M. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
38 MORRIS Samuel A. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
39 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
40 TRAVERS Samir T. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
40 BERGER Oliver - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
42 LASORSA Matthew - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
43 CHEONG Heonjae - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 9%
44 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
45 FRANKEL Yitzchok A. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
45 KEEFE Duncan 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% -
48 LUKASHENKO Darii - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
49 MORRILL Justin - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
49 XU William 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
51 CHIN Matthew W. - - 4% 21% 40% 29% 7%
52 TANN Justin - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
53 CHEN Leo - - - 5% 21% 43% 32%
54 DU Gavin J. 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
55 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
56 HOUTZ Jackson 3% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
57 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
57 LIU kelly 1% 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% -
59 BARBER William S. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
60 KIM-COGAN Ryan - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
61 BONSELL Vance 6% 32% 39% 19% 4% 1% -
62 LICHT Aaron H. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
63 RAJA Arnav - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
64 LUCZKOW Arman - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
65 PINTO Gabriel R. 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
66 TONG ZACHARY - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
67 GOLD Jackson 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 5% -
68 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
69 PREJEAN Patrick J. - 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 2%
70 LEE Conner M. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
71 CARTER Jackson - 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1%
72 OWENS Harrison J. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
73 BERUBE Jesse L. 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
74 ELIN Adam E. 33% 44% 19% 4% - -
75 NARANJO David E. 9% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
76 ZHOU Kevin - 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
77 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 1% 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
78 GHENEA George Philipe 4% 24% 44% 23% 5% 1% -
79 LI Joshua L. 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
80 SAMMI Mukund 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
81 ZHOU Miles 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
82 BERMAN Luca - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
83 COX Luis E. - 6% 26% 40% 22% 5% -
84 ALKIN Isaac 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
85 ZHOU Aeres Z. 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
85 HUANG Tyler T. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
87 COLLINS Andrew M. 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
88 HONG Vincent Q. 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
89 PLAGA Quinn 24% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
90 LU Caleb Q. 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
91 GARCIA Ryan 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
92 ZHANG Michael (Jiayuan) 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
93 SMITH Vaughn 48% 41% 10% 1% - - -
94 NEVILLE James 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
95 ROPER Evan C. - 2% 14% 33% 36% 14%
96 PLONKA Derek 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 4%
97 PEARSON James G. 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
98 DELARUE NELSON Y. 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
99 LU Jiayi (Charlie) 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% -
100 SWORDS Evan F. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
101 BULL Anderson 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
102 TREFNEY Albert 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
102 LU Evan 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
104 FOX Nicholas 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
104 SHASHA zane 11% 33% 35% 16% 4% - -
106 KARPINSKI Michael A. 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
107 RYAN Will 21% 58% 19% 2% - - -
108 TIERNO Thomas J. 1% 22% 39% 27% 9% 1% -
109 BURNS Jackson P. 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
109 WANG Andy 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
111 BIRKS Evan D. 35% 45% 17% 3% - - -
114 ADHIKARI Anubhav 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
115 TIMMINS Daniel R. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
116 WONG Ethan 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% - -
117 LEUNG Nathan 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
118 STEVENS Jeffrey 20% 46% 28% 6% - -
119 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
119 NIELANDER Elliot S. 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
121 HODGES Calvin 16% 49% 28% 6% 1% - -
122 HAYES Tyler 83% 16% 1% - - - -
123 COOK Aidan J. 64% 33% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.