Cardinal Fencing Academy - Sterling, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | TABLEMAN Doug S. | V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 2 | TIKHONOV Daniel | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 3 | MEGGERS Samuel | D V D V V | V V V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 3 | SURIKOV Igor | V V D D V D | V V V D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| 5 | CARTER Austin L. | V V V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 6 | CHRISTY Peter C. | V V D V V | V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 7 | MEGGERS Davin | V V V D V | V V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 8 | BAGHA Armin | D V V V V D | V V D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 9 | WHEELER Daniel | D V V V V V | V D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 10 | YI Nathan | V V V V D V | V D | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| 11 | CHAWLA Aarav | V V D V V V | V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 12 | FOREST Sung | V V V D V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 13 | WU Shaochi | V D V D V | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 14 | LIN Haley | D D V V V | V D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 15 | CANDELARIA Armando | V D V V D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 16 | GLOGOWSKI Konrad | D D V D D V | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 17 | MAROCHNIK Daniel | V V D V V V | D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 18 | PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai | V V V V D | D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 19 | WATSON Raymond | V V D V D | D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 20 | WANG Aiden | D V D V V | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 21 | HITCHCOCK David | V D D V V | D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 22 | DELONG Joshua | D D V V V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 23 | BUI Ryan | D V V D V | D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 24 | MASSA Mark | V D V V D D | D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 25 | SCHREIBER Richard A. | D V V D D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 26 | WHEELER Andreas | D V D D D V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 27 | HEALY Declan | D D D V V D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 28 | EVANS Allen L. | D V D D D | V D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 29 | VENKATESH Arjun | D D V D D | V D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 30 | HALE Bradley | D D D V D D | V D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 31 | FREED Ethan | D D D D D | V D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 32 | FENG Xinmin | D D D D D D | V D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 33 | PIRTLE Hawkeye | V D D D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 34 | EARLY Isabel | V D D D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 35 | PAGAN Andrew | D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 36 | ASBILLE Caya | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 37 | RAMIREZ Brooklyn | D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 38 | WU Lighthouse | D D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.