NJFA Fall Classic RYC & Non-Regional Junior and D1A

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, November 24, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOSS Persephone - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 34%
2 VINOKUR Anita - - - 3% 17% 41% 37%
3 ZHANG Ashley - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
3 MAK Jayden - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
5 CHOWDHERY Myra - 1% 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
6 DEMRY Kylee 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% < 1% -
7 NG Sophia - 3% 15% 34% 35% 14%
8 MAK Kaitlin - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
9 PARK Haylie - - - 4% 20% 43% 31%
10 LAFFY Lily - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
11 NANDA Maanika - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
12 LEE Kaitlin - - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
13 HUANG Pierra - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
14 WANG Keira - 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1%
15 BANDHU Saahiti 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
16 LEE Grace - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
17 VATS Ishita - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
18 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
19 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
20 MERZLYAKOVA Maria - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
21 REDA Sophie - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
22 ZHANG Audrey 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
23 LEIGH Adalene - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
24 JOHN Sophia - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
25 WONG Charlene - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
26 WEI Avril - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
27 TA-ZHOU Sophia - 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
28 YOUNG Sienna 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
29 LIANG Claire - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
30 DESAUTELS Alexandra - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
31 PEREIRA Izumi 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
32 MOTOVA Masha 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
33 SHI Chuqing - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
34 HILD Anya - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
35 ZHAO Selena - 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
36 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
37 LIU Teresa 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
38 FAZAL Sasha 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
39 MADDISON Erica 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
40 HAGLER Alice 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
41 HO Sophia 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
42 MARGULIS Roxana 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
43 ARORA Rhiya 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
44 CAFAGNA Sofia - 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
45 FOLEY Serafina 56% 37% 6% - - - -
46 CHAN Isla - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
47 MERZLYAKOVA Alexandra 46% 39% 13% 2% - -
48 LEE Janice 3% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
49 DIBADJ Ava 34% 47% 17% 3% - - -
50 KAKAR Sahana 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
51 GOLEN Grace 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
52 PATEL Sia 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
53 LEE Jiyoung 22% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
54 AN Jamie 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
55 PARKER Mrinali 20% 55% 22% 3% - - -
56 BUCCINO Sloane 29% 47% 20% 4% - - -
57 LIAO Amber 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% - -
57 MISHRA Riona 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
59 SAGER Bianca 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
60 HARVEY-LEE Luisa 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
61 WANG Diana 1% 11% 31% 35% 19% 4% -
62 LIN Laura 19% 40% 30% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.