Holiday Open 2024

E & Under Mixed Épée

Saturday, December 7, 2024 at 10:00 AM

Vermont Commons School - Middlebury, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 OSHIMA Robert 1% 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% -
2 MARCOUX Alexander 1% 6% 18% 31% 28% 14% 3% -
3 MISSERT Justin - - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
3 RICCOBONO Matthew - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
5 LAMOREAUX Zachariah P. - - - 1% 8% 28% 44% 19%
6 HENTY Colton - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
7 MEHRBACH Jesse - 2% 15% 39% 32% 10% 1%
8 CROTHER-COLLADO Gabriela - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
9 WHEELER Michele L. 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% - -
10 JONES Finn - - 3% 17% 42% 31% 7%
11 COLLIER Samara 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% - -
12 LAMOREAUX Julie A. 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
13 PEDEN Emily 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1% -
14 POWERFREEMAN Mark 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% - -
15 HANNA Torrey 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.