Holiday Open 2024

E & Under Mixed Épée

Saturday, December 7, 2024 at 10:00 AM

Vermont Commons School - Middlebury, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 OSHIMA Robert 100% 99% 84% 44% 13% 2% -
2 MARCOUX Alexander 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 17% 4% -
3 MISSERT Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
3 RICCOBONO Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
5 LAMOREAUX Zachariah P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 19%
6 HENTY Colton 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
7 MEHRBACH Jesse 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1%
8 CROTHER-COLLADO Gabriela 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5% -
9 WHEELER Michele L. 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% - -
10 JONES Finn 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 7%
11 COLLIER Samara 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% - -
12 LAMOREAUX Julie A. 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
13 PEDEN Emily 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1% -
14 POWERFREEMAN Mark 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% - -
15 HANNA Torrey 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.