Holiday Open 2024

E & Under Mixed Foil

Saturday, December 7, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Vermont Commons School - Middlebury, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 GOODMAN Elliott 100% 100% 99% 93% 76% 46% 17% 3%
2 ZINITI-LAU Elena 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
3 GOLDENBOGEN Simon 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
3 LOPES Julia 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% < 1%
5 MARCOUX Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 44% 15% 2%
6 GOODMAN Carden 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 5% -
7 MACIK Axel 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 50% 20% 4%
8 GALLAGHER Miranda 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
9 BALCH Richard Trip 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 2% - -
10 OMALLEY michael 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
11 CROTHER-COLLADO Gabriela 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 25% 7% 1%
12 LAMOREAUX Julie A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 2%
13 JONES Finn 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
14 WHEELER Michele L. 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 2% -
15 SCHWETLICK Rafi 100% 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.