Results of Y-12 Women's Épée - 1st Annual Battle Born RYC and RJC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, December 14, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Tarkanian Basketball Center - Las Vegas, NV, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	FU Shannon	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	95%	64%
2	BURKS Madison	100%	100%	99%	92%	66%	23%
3	YIP Allison	100%	99%	87%	57%	21%	3%
3	ARNOLD Evangeline	100%	100%	100%	96%	79%	41%	7%
5	CHO Anya	100%	100%	97%	82%	48%	13%
6	ERISMAN Gabriella	100%	100%	98%	83%	45%	9%
7	MIXON Ivory	100%	98%	83%	50%	18%	3%
8	YOON Claire	100%	81%	37%	8%	1%	-
9	KIM Vivian	100%	100%	100%	99%	87%	46%
10	CIOBANU Celine	100%	100%	99%	91%	63%	21%
11	LI Carlie	100%	100%	98%	87%	56%	18%
12	FLYNN Kensington	100%	100%	96%	76%	35%	5%
13	LEE Rebecca	100%	99%	93%	69%	32%	7%	-
14	ZHU Anna	100%	91%	59%	22%	4%	-	-
15	WU Angela	100%	81%	41%	11%	1%	-
16	KIM Toni	100%	70%	25%	4%	-	-
17	NIMIJAN emerie	100%	97%	82%	48%	16%	2%	-
18	LEONG Andrea	100%	89%	55%	19%	3%	-
19	KWAK Olivia	100%	99%	91%	66%	29%	6%	-
20	KUSHNERENKO Maiia	100%	90%	59%	23%	5%	-
21	CHONG Emma	100%	95%	74%	38%	11%	1%
22	BEATINGO Chelli	100%	94%	68%	27%	5%	-
23	YU Elise	100%	85%	49%	17%	3%	-
24	KOHLER Chrissy	100%	91%	60%	23%	4%	-
25	LEE Layla	100%	70%	28%	6%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.

The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.

The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.

By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

1st Annual Battle Born RYC and RJC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, December 14, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Probability density of pool victories

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Explanation