War of the Roses

Div II Mixed Foil

Sunday, December 15, 2024 at 12:00 PM

York Fencing Club - York, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 SHEA William 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
2 KIM John 100% 100% 99% 92% 73% 41% 14% 2%
3 GODIN Willis 100% 100% 99% 81% 39% 9% 1%
3 WESTGATE Rebecca 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% < 1% - -
5 GUTKOVSKAYA Nora 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
6 ROSA II Carl D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
7 RIDDLE Grant 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17% 2%
8 LOBEL Dillan 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 12% 2% -
9 NAUGHTON Aidan 100% 96% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
10 SMITH Grace 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6% -
11 GANT Ansley 100% 37% 5% - - - -
12 AGNEW Charlie 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
13 MARSH Alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 76% 46% 17% 3%
14 BEITZELL Nicholas 100% 88% 52% 18% 4% - - -
15 REARDON Isabella 100% 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.