December Challenge and Holiday Potluck

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, December 21, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JOHNSON Eli 100% 100% 92% 40% 7% - < 1%
2 BIESIADA Sophia 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 23% 2%
3 WINTERGERST Maxwell 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 5%
3 LAGUNA Genevieve 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
5 DEPP Edward 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5%
6 BOWKER Yeteva 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
8 MOLDOVEANU Roman 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 6%
10 GUMP Natalie 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
11 TURNER Jackson 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
12 GUMP Catherine 100% 76% 37% 10% 2% - -
13 STEWART Maxton 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
14 HAWS Clara 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
15 WHITE Benjamin 100% 99% 88% 51% 9% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.