2024 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, December 21, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 35%
3 KIM Remington 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 4%
3 MARENCIK Miles 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
5 LIU Zicheng 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
6 GREENMAN Duke 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
7 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
8 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
9 CHEN Tianjun 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
10 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
11 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 4%
12 GOODMAN Liam 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
13 CAMPOS Sebastian 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
14 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 3%
15 QU RuiTing 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
16 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
17 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
18 SHIM Jae 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 16%
19 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
20 XUE Michael 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
21 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
22 SU Samuel 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
23 ZHANG Austin 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 5%
24 OLSON Joseph 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
25 DU Evan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
26 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1%
27 DENG Destin 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
28 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 10%
29 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% -
30 KIM Julian 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
31 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
32 CHOI SIWON 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
33 QIAN Irvine 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
34 QIU William 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
35 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
36 WANG Jiacheng 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
37 MA Ciel 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
38 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
39 LIN Bryan 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
40 MENG Haoyi 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
41 VEERAVALLI Pranav 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
42 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
43 CHANG Matthew 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
44 MODI Rohan 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
45 SATHYAN Dev 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
46 HANTOV Adrian 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
47 ZHANG Sean 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
48 ZENG Yulin 100% 91% 60% 24% 6% 1% -
49 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
50 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
51 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
52 MA Ryan 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 6%
53 LI Grayson 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
54 LEE Lucas 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
55 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7%
56 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 97% 77% 36% 7% -
57 BUHLER Isaac 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
58 HUA Nolan 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
59 LEE Leo 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
60 ZHOU Max 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
61 YAO Aiden 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
62 HWANG Matthew 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
63 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
64 ISMAILOV Alan 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% -
65 TREVINO Lucas 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
66 WU Nathan 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
66 KIM Doyun 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
68 KIM Leejay 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
69 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
69 WANG Dylan 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
71 KICIMAN Leo 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 2%
72 ALI Rayan 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
73 RAHMAN Ali 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 3%
74 LIU Austin 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
75 RUAN Yichen 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
76 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 99% 91% 61% 20% 1%
77 YOO Lucas 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
78 LIN Edison 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
79 WONG Alexander 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
80 LIU Yihong 100% 97% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
81 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
82 LI Andy 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
83 JU Shang 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 2% -
84 CHEN Jayden 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% -
85 YU Brandon 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
86 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
87 DING Max 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
88 CHEN Linus 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
88 DE LOS REYES Noah 100% 40% 8% 1% - -
90 JERKINS Gianni 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
91 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
91 CHIANG William 100% 98% 84% 55% 22% 5% -
93 LI Vance 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
94 FRENCH Drake 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
94 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
96 DISPENZA Jayan 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
96 WU James 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
98 JIMENEZ PARRA Dorian D 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
99 ORGIS Ryan 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
100 PARK Sihoon 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
101 RAJA Yatin 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
101 LINDERS Jackson 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
103 HOHMAN Elias 100% 65% 24% 4% - - -
104 RIEDL Luke 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
105 TAN Samuel 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.