2024 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, December 21, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - - 2% 21% 77%
2 LIOZNYANSKY Miron - - 1% 5% 19% 40% 35%
3 KIM Remington - 6% 24% 40% 26% 4%
3 MARENCIK Miles - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
5 LIU Zicheng - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
6 GREENMAN Duke - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
7 LOISEAU Oscar - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
8 PARKE Nathaniel - - - 3% 16% 43% 39%
9 CHEN Tianjun 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
10 KIM Gene - - - 2% 11% 38% 50%
11 ZHANG Jonathan - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 4%
12 GOODMAN Liam 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
13 CAMPOS Sebastian 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
14 ZHANG jonathan - 4% 22% 42% 29% 3%
15 QU RuiTing 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
16 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 3% 15% 32% 31% 16% 4% -
17 MEHROTRA Neel - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
18 SHIM Jae - - 1% 9% 31% 43% 16%
19 PARKER Isaiah - - - - 4% 30% 66%
20 XUE Michael - 3% 15% 34% 35% 14%
21 HERNDON Liam - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
22 SU Samuel - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
23 ZHANG Austin - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 5%
24 OLSON Joseph - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
25 DU Evan - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
26 SOLOMON Aryeh 4% 23% 40% 26% 6% 1%
27 DENG Destin 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
28 TUBALTSEV Evan - - 1% 10% 33% 46% 10%
29 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
30 KIM Julian - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
31 MOORE Alexander - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
32 CHOI SIWON 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
33 QIAN Irvine - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
34 QIU William 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
35 MOSLEY Wally - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
36 WANG Jiacheng 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
37 MA Ciel - 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
38 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
39 LIN Bryan 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
40 MENG Haoyi - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
41 VEERAVALLI Pranav 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
42 KROPP Wesley - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
43 CHANG Matthew 2% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
44 MODI Rohan 6% 25% 36% 25% 8% 1%
45 SATHYAN Dev 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1%
46 HANTOV Adrian 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
47 ZHANG Sean - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
48 ZENG Yulin 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
49 RAHMAN Zayd - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
50 TANG Michael - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
51 ADDLEMAN Joshua - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
52 MA Ryan - 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
53 LI Grayson 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
54 LEE Lucas 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
55 CAFASSO Alexander - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
56 TUMULA Arihaan 3% 20% 41% 29% 7% -
57 BUHLER Isaac 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
58 HUA Nolan 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
59 LEE Leo 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
60 ZHOU Max 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
61 YAO Aiden 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
62 HWANG Matthew 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
63 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
64 ISMAILOV Alan 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
65 TREVINO Lucas 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
66 WU Nathan - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
66 KIM Doyun 11% 38% 36% 13% 2% -
68 KIM Leejay - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
69 ROBERTS Arthur 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
69 WANG Dylan 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
71 KICIMAN Leo 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
72 ALI Rayan - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
73 RAHMAN Ali 1% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3%
74 LIU Austin 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 3%
75 RUAN Yichen - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
76 SHAFFER Tyler 1% 8% 30% 41% 19% 1%
77 YOO Lucas 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
78 LIN Edison 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
79 WONG Alexander 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
80 LIU Yihong 3% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
81 YAO Ryan - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
82 LI Andy 16% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
83 JU Shang 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
84 CHEN Jayden 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% -
85 YU Brandon 12% 38% 35% 13% 2% -
86 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 18% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
87 DING Max 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
88 CHEN Linus 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
88 DE LOS REYES Noah 60% 33% 7% 1% - -
90 JERKINS Gianni 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
91 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 3% 20% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
91 CHIANG William 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
93 LI Vance 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
94 FRENCH Drake 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
94 ZHAN ETHAN 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
96 DISPENZA Jayan 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
96 WU James 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
98 JIMENEZ PARRA Dorian D 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
99 ORGIS Ryan 2% 14% 33% 35% 15% 2%
100 PARK Sihoon 43% 42% 14% 2% - -
101 RAJA Yatin 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
101 LINDERS Jackson 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
103 HOHMAN Elias 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
104 RIEDL Luke 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
105 TAN Samuel 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.