2024 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, December 22, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Gene - - - 1% 10% 36% 53%
2 PARKE Nathaniel - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
3 KIM Julian - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
3 XUE Michael - 1% 5% 23% 42% 29%
5 TUBALTSEV Evan - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
5 DU Evan - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 22%
7 ROBERTS Arthur - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
8 CHEN Tianjun - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
9 ZHANG Sean - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
10 DING Max 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
11 LIU Austin - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
11 SHIM Jae - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 24%
11 KIM Doyun 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
14 KROPP Wesley - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
15 ALI Rayan - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
16 MOSLEY Wally - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
17 ZHANG jonathan - - 5% 25% 47% 23%
18 WONG Alexander - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
19 RAU Shogun - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
20 TANG Michael - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
21 YAO Aiden 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
22 VEERAVALLI Pranav 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
23 KIM Leejay 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
24 GEVA Reuben - 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
25 QU RuiTing - 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
26 BELETSKII Ivan - - - 4% 20% 45% 32%
27 KICIMAN Leo - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
28 HWANG Matthew 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
29 LEE Lucas - 4% 19% 34% 30% 12% 2%
30 CHIANG William 1% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
31 CHOI SIWON - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
32 YU Brandon 3% 18% 40% 31% 8% 1%
33 CHANG Matthew - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
34 CHEN Jayden 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
35 ZHANG Aiden - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
36 LEE Leo 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4%
37 HANTOV Adrian - 6% 25% 38% 25% 5%
38 RODRIGUEZ Emiliano 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
39 ZHAN ETHAN 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
40 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 2% 13% 36% 36% 12% 1%
41 YAO Ryan - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
42 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
43 KUANG Cyrus - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
44 LI Andy 2% 13% 34% 35% 13% 2% -
45 FRENCH Drake - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
46 CHEN Linus 3% 26% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
47 RUAN Yichen - 4% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
48 TIAN Dylan 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
49 LIU Yihong 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
50 YUE Bryan 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
51 WU Nathan - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
52 WONG Kyle 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
53 SKORUPA Alexander 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
54 HUA Nolan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
55 YOO Lucas 1% 8% 26% 37% 24% 5%
56 DISPENZA Jayan 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
57 ISMAILOV Alan 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
58 CHAU Ivan 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
59 JIMENEZ PARRA Dorian D 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
60 GUO Jonathan 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
61 YOON Ian 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
62 CHU Clayton 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
63 HOLDEN Harrison 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
64 GOLDBERG Simon 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
65 SHIM Jaeyoo 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
66 PARK Sihoon 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
67 ZHANG Jacob 27% 43% 24% 5% - - -
68 FU Benjamin 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
69 LI Vance 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
70 DESAI Adithya 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
71 XIONG Alec 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
72 LIN Edison 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
73 MAZAHERI Theodore 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
74 LI Stephen 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
75 QU ethan 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
76 KEPLER Kyle 5% 29% 39% 22% 5% -
77 DE LOS REYES Noah 21% 45% 27% 6% 1% -
78 MIDDLETON Matthew 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
79 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
80 YANG Gavin 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
81 LOURIE Nathan - < 1% 4% 21% 40% 29% 6%
82 GUO zhaohong 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
83 CHI Zachary 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
84 JU Shang 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
85 KHALID Ilyas 1% 12% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
86 FAYEZ Adam 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
87 TAN Samuel 54% 36% 9% 1% - -
88 YAKUB Noah 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
88 HOHMAN Elias 33% 43% 20% 4% - -
90 ROULLARD Atticus 31% 45% 21% 4% - -
91 ZHAO Jonathan Li 74% 23% 3% - - - -
92 THOMSON Piers 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
93 MONTGOMERY Jaxon 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.