2024 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, December 22, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
2 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
3 KIM Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
3 XUE Michael 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
5 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
5 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
7 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
8 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
9 ZHANG Sean 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 30% 6%
10 DING Max 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
11 LIU Austin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
11 SHIM Jae 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
11 KIM Doyun 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
14 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
15 ALI Rayan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
16 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
17 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
18 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
19 RAU Shogun 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
20 TANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
21 YAO Aiden 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6% -
22 VEERAVALLI Pranav 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
23 KIM Leejay 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
24 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 5%
25 QU RuiTing 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
26 BELETSKII Ivan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
27 KICIMAN Leo 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
28 HWANG Matthew 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
29 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
30 CHIANG William 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
31 CHOI SIWON 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
32 YU Brandon 100% 97% 80% 40% 9% 1%
33 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
34 CHEN Jayden 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
35 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
36 LEE Leo 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
37 HANTOV Adrian 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 5%
38 RODRIGUEZ Emiliano 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
39 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
40 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 98% 86% 50% 13% 1%
41 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
42 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
43 KUANG Cyrus 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
44 LI Andy 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2% -
45 FRENCH Drake 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
46 CHEN Linus 100% 97% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
47 RUAN Yichen 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
48 TIAN Dylan 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
49 LIU Yihong 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
50 YUE Bryan 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
51 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
52 WONG Kyle 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
53 SKORUPA Alexander 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
54 HUA Nolan 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
55 YOO Lucas 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
56 DISPENZA Jayan 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
57 ISMAILOV Alan 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
58 CHAU Ivan 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
59 JIMENEZ PARRA Dorian D 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
60 GUO Jonathan 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
61 YOON Ian 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
62 CHU Clayton 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
63 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
64 GOLDBERG Simon 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
65 SHIM Jaeyoo 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
66 PARK Sihoon 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
67 ZHANG Jacob 100% 73% 30% 6% - - -
68 FU Benjamin 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
69 LI Vance 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
70 DESAI Adithya 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
71 XIONG Alec 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
72 LIN Edison 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
73 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1%
74 LI Stephen 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
75 QU ethan 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
76 KEPLER Kyle 100% 95% 66% 27% 6% -
77 DE LOS REYES Noah 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% -
78 MIDDLETON Matthew 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
79 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
80 YANG Gavin 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
81 LOURIE Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
82 GUO zhaohong 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
83 CHI Zachary 100% 87% 51% 18% 4% - -
84 JU Shang 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
85 KHALID Ilyas 100% 99% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
86 FAYEZ Adam 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
87 TAN Samuel 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
88 YAKUB Noah 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% -
88 HOHMAN Elias 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
90 ROULLARD Atticus 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
91 ZHAO Jonathan Li 100% 26% 3% - - - -
92 THOMSON Piers 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
93 MONTGOMERY Jaxon 100% 74% 33% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.