MFA Senior Mixed Epee

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, December 27, 2024 at 7:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LI Ethan R. 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
2 ZHANG Lucas 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
3 LIU Aaron 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
3 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 98% 70% 29% 6% -
5 MA Ryan 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
6 XU Yanwen 100% 100% 90% 58% 21% 3%
7 PERALTA Christian 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 4%
8 WANG Devin 100% 100% 94% 63% 11%
9 NAIK Saininad 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
10 HELGE James R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
11 XU Jessica 100% 85% 47% 13% 2%
12 CHIEM Karen 100% 88% 50% 11% 1%
13 WANG Jessie 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
14 LIANG Jingjing 100% 100% 72% 26% 4% -
15 AIRES Julia 100% 80% 37% 8% 1%
16 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
17 WILLIAMS Brett 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
18 GUO Woody 100% 99% 84% 43% 10% 1%
19 YOUNG Quentin 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1%
20 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
21 QIAO James 100% 76% 34% 7% 1% -
22 PERALTA Christian 100% 12% 1% - - -
23 JACKSON Susana 100% 38% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.