Fairfax Challenge SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Foil

Friday, September 20, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
2 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
3 ORVANANOS ANICE 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 19%
3 MATOS Lívia 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
5 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
6 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 39%
7 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
8 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 100% 99% 86% 42% 8%
9 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 2%
10 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 29%
11 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
12 PAULUS Isabella 100% 99% 81% 35% 4% - -
13 KOKES Gwendolen 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
14 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
15 TUCKER ALARCON Frida 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% 1%
16 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
17 SHA Yi Ling 100% 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 4%
18 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 24% 3%
19 WILLIS Fletcher L. 100% 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1%
20 WANG Jasmine 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% -
21 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
22 SOLDATOVA Maria 100% 100% 99% 84% 49% 15% 2%
23 NEWSON Grace 100% 99% 76% 31% 5% - -
24 MEI Sarah 100% 77% 19% 2% - -
25 CHAGARES Isabella 100% 40% 4% - - -
26 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 99% 85% 32% 5% -
27 OWENS Elise 100% 100% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
28 PAULUS Sloane 100% 63% 10% 1% - - -
29 SHIM Grace 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
30 KAPUSTINA Arina 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
31 KOKE Kristen 100% 13% 1% - - - -
31 ZHANG Alina 100% 50% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.