Fairfax Challenge SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Foil

Friday, September 20, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MARX Jackson L. - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
2 QIAN Jason H. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
3 CHEN Kyle P. - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 28%
3 TANG Alexander L. - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
5 ZHANG Alex 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
6 MAO Lucas 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
7 FEDELI Francesco - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
8 KOKES William - 4% 18% 37% 31% 10%
9 WONG Jackson - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
10 YAO Bradley - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
11 ZHAO Adam 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
12 VADEN Oliver 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
13 SIMONOV Timofey - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
14 TAN Aidan 2% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
15 JIANG Matthew 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
16 SHIM Peter S. - 7% 26% 37% 24% 6% -
17 SENIC Lucas - 12% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
18 SUAREZ Adrian - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
19 PALMA Nathan Anthony - 1% 6% 23% 40% 26% 5%
20 KOE Beckett 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
21 PENTON Ivan 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
22 CHA James - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
23 KARPESHOV Maddox 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
24 MCALLISTER thomas 79% 19% 2% - - - -
25 GEOGHEGAN Logan < 1% 3% 17% 36% 33% 10% 1%
26 SHAW Spencer 7% 32% 37% 19% 4% -
27 LIU Robert 9% 40% 36% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.