Fairfax Challenge SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Foil

Friday, September 20, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MARX Jackson L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
2 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
3 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
3 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
5 ZHANG Alex 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
6 MAO Lucas 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
7 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
8 KOKES William 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
9 WONG Jackson 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
10 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
11 ZHAO Adam 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
12 VADEN Oliver 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
13 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
14 TAN Aidan 100% 98% 75% 35% 8% 1% -
15 JIANG Matthew 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
16 SHIM Peter S. 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% -
17 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 87% 52% 17% 2% -
18 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
19 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 5%
20 KOE Beckett 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
21 PENTON Ivan 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
22 CHA James 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
23 KARPESHOV Maddox 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
24 MCALLISTER thomas 100% 21% 2% - - - -
25 GEOGHEGAN Logan 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% 1%
26 SHAW Spencer 100% 93% 61% 23% 5% -
27 LIU Robert 100% 91% 52% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.