International Regional Circuit Guangzhou

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, December 29, 2024 at 8:00 AM

ChimeLong Tourist Resort Area Convention/Conference Center - None

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ZOU Cenxuan	-	-	-	2%	13%	39%	46%
2	LI Tin Shing	-	1%	8%	35%	47%	9%
3	ZHU JIAMING	-	-	1%	7%	24%	41%	27%
3	CAO Jiahua	1%	9%	29%	38%	19%	4%	-
5	CHEN zhuoyang	-	1%	6%	25%	43%	25%
6	LAI QiYong	-	-	1%	7%	25%	41%	26%
7	ZILIN Liu	-	1%	9%	26%	35%	23%	5%
8	PAN Boru	-	-	2%	12%	31%	38%	17%
9	CHEN Johnny	-	-	2%	11%	31%	39%	18%
10	PEDIAPCO Franco Antonino	-	1%	5%	19%	36%	31%	8%
11	CHOI MINHYEOK	-	-	1%	9%	28%	40%	21%
12	LU Haoran	-	-	1%	13%	43%	43%
13	WEN GUOXIN	1%	9%	26%	34%	22%	7%	1%
14	YAO Chung Pan	16%	37%	32%	13%	2%	-	-
15	ZHANG JIAMING	-	1%	7%	22%	35%	27%	8%
16	DEL CASTILLO Oscar Gabriel	7%	26%	35%	23%	8%	1%	-
17	MAK Tin Ho	5%	20%	34%	27%	11%	2%	-
18	YAO ZICHAO	-	2%	13%	35%	37%	13%
19	LEE David	-	6%	25%	39%	24%	6%	1%
20	YANG Tianyi	-	4%	24%	38%	25%	7%	1%
21	LI Zhenkeyi	-	1%	9%	26%	37%	22%	5%
22	JI YUXUAN	-	1%	9%	27%	37%	22%	4%
23	GUO Yuhang	21%	40%	28%	9%	1%	-	-
24	SUN Zengze	29%	45%	22%	4%	-	-
25	SEUNG HYUN SHIN	29%	50%	19%	3%	-	-
26	CHEN Luowen	11%	31%	34%	18%	5%	1%	-
27	WU XianZu	-	2%	10%	27%	35%	22%	5%
28	LIN ZHIJIN	-	1%	6%	23%	40%	26%	5%
29	LYU Yuchen	7%	27%	36%	22%	7%	1%	-
30	ZHAO ZHANYAN	2%	11%	27%	33%	20%	6%	1%
31	WEIFENG Xu	14%	38%	34%	12%	2%	-	-
32	WANG YOU-SHAN	3%	23%	45%	24%	4%	-
33	SUN Marco	9%	30%	37%	20%	5%	-
34	CHUNG YEONSUN	2%	11%	30%	35%	18%	4%	-
35	WANG HAOYU	1%	8%	24%	35%	24%	8%	1%
36	MAYO Matt Jacob	3%	21%	37%	28%	9%	1%	-
37	HU HAOYUE	-	3%	19%	41%	30%	7%
38	CUI Jiakang	1%	10%	27%	33%	21%	7%	1%
39	YAO ZIYUE	7%	26%	36%	23%	7%	1%	-
40	GUO Derrick	2%	12%	29%	34%	19%	5%	-
41	ZHANG Jinghong	-	5%	22%	39%	27%	6%
42	SON Diego Rafael	25%	42%	25%	7%	1%	-
43	XU William	10%	35%	37%	15%	2%	-
44	HAOYANG Cai	6%	24%	35%	25%	9%	1%	-
45	CAO Martin	76%	22%	2%	-	-	-	-
46	QIAN Zhixu	6%	24%	36%	25%	8%	1%	-
47	TUNG Charlie	4%	31%	39%	20%	5%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.