International Regional Circuit Guangzhou

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, December 29, 2024 at 12:30 PM

ChimeLong Tourist Resort Area Convention/Conference Center - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ZHANG Yixin	-	-	-	1%	8%	41%	50%
2	LEE DAHYOON	-	-	1%	8%	35%	56%
3	CHEN hongdian	-	4%	18%	35%	32%	11%	1%
3	KO YEJU	-	-	7%	29%	41%	21%	2%
5	LEE Seowoo	-	-	1%	7%	27%	45%	20%
6	ZHANG jinghan	-	-	1%	5%	22%	43%	29%
7	OH Juwon	-	-	-	2%	15%	42%	41%
8	DUAN Muchen	-	3%	20%	42%	31%	3%
9	HUANG TsuErh	-	-	1%	5%	25%	49%	19%
10	GONG Hai	1%	16%	38%	32%	11%	2%	-
11	ZHANG Vivian	1%	8%	28%	39%	20%	4%	-
12	WANG YUE YAO	-	1%	9%	28%	37%	21%	4%
13	SONG THIRIET Haylin	2%	22%	40%	27%	8%	1%	-
14	ZHU Zeqi	1%	11%	37%	41%	9%	1%
15	LIU Yihan	4%	24%	39%	26%	7%	1%
16	YANG Judy	-	1%	13%	38%	40%	8%
17	DEL CASTILLO Hagia Sophia	-	-	-	1%	12%	40%	47%
18	TSENG YU-LIN	-	-	1%	7%	34%	59%
19	CHEN Liqi	-	4%	22%	42%	27%	5%
20	LIANG chuqiao	-	2%	10%	28%	35%	21%	4%
21	ZHOU Yuetong	1%	12%	37%	41%	9%	1%	-
22	LIANG Heather	6%	31%	39%	19%	4%	-	-
23	HSU Emily	9%	42%	36%	11%	1%	-
24	LI Sissi Jiayutong	5%	27%	41%	22%	4%	-
25	GUO GABRINA	68%	29%	3%	-	-	-
26	WANG Ada	52%	37%	9%	1%	-	-
27	PAN Sara	-	1%	13%	38%	35%	11%	1%
28	PARK Soyun	-	1%	8%	31%	40%	19%	1%
29	PASCUAL Regina Zenais	14%	39%	35%	11%	1%	-	-
30	LIU Miracle	-	-	1%	11%	58%	27%	3%
31	PARK Gayool	21%	42%	28%	7%	1%	-	-
32	KIM HA EUN	< 1%	14%	40%	35%	10%	1%
33	XIAO Sophia	49%	38%	11%	2%	-	-	-
34	SONG Seanna	12%	35%	36%	14%	2%	-	-
35	YU Julie	5%	30%	40%	21%	4%	-	-
36	郭彦青	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	14%	2%
37	SHEN Caleb	65%	31%	4%	-	-	-	-
38	LEE Joan Si Yu	2%	16%	37%	32%	12%	2%	-
39	LI Jiaxin	58%	34%	7%	1%	-	-	-
40	ZHU Meihua	4%	24%	41%	25%	4%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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