January NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Friday, January 3, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
2 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
3 HOMER Daryl D. - - - - - 7% 93%
3 HEATHCOCK Antonio - - - - 1% 18% 80%
5 ESCUETA Tony V. - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
5 LUKASHENKO Darii - - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
7 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - 2% 15% 48% 35%
7 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - 1% 7% 37% 56%
9 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
10 MICLAUS Justin - - 4% 27% 47% 21%
11 CHAN Matthew - - 1% 9% 31% 45% 14%
12 WANG Nicolas - - 2% 13% 32% 38% 15%
13 CHEONG Heonjun - 2% 15% 37% 37% 8%
14 NOBLE Colin - 4% 18% 36% 31% 9% 1%
15 MIKA Casper - - - 3% 19% 47% 30%
16 YE Eric 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2% -
17 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
17 MORRILL William - - - - 4% 28% 68%
19 CHOI Silas - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
20 TSE Aiden J 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% < 1%
21 KIM Shawn J. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
22 LILOV Neil - - - 1% 9% 37% 52%
22 JI Cody Walter - - - 1% 7% 37% 55%
24 DENNER Maximilian P. - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
25 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
26 KANG Evan R. 5% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
27 WONG Tzer - - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
28 RIGHTLER Samuel - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
29 REN James - 4% 20% 41% 28% 6% -
30 GÉLINAS Marc - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
31 GUFFEY Christopher - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 3%
32 HUANG Ethan F. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
33 YUN Jaesun - - 1% 8% 30% 46% 14%
34 LIN Daniel 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3% < 1%
35 XU William - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
36 KIM Shaun M. - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 14%
37 LEE Justin - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
38 CHON Taylor A. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
39 HOLZ Daniel - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
40 BAE Jason I. - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 13%
41 ROBINSON William - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
42 LEE Noah 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 6% 1%
43 TE VELDE Noah C. - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
44 NOFAL Zeyad - - 1% 6% 28% 44% 22%
45 HJERPE Wade H. - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
46 WOOD Elden S. - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
47 ANTHONY Devyn V. - 3% 14% 28% 32% 18% 4%
48 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - 1% 10% 30% 39% 17% 2%
49 KIM Kendrick 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
50 HUANG Alex F. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
51 HOLZ William A. - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
52 LIM William J. - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 13%
53 ANDRES Michael 2% 18% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
53 LEE Aidan 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
55 WANG Samuel - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
56 LIN Maxim 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
56 LI Howard 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
58 HU Chris - 2% 12% 29% 36% 19% 2%
59 KIM Ethan - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 2%
60 DODRILL Grant - - 4% 17% 37% 32% 10%
61 KATZ Ryan 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
62 PATEL Rayn 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
62 RAMANAN Jaisimh 5% 20% 32% 27% 12% 3% -
64 ROE Finnegan 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
65 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - - 1% 6% 31% 63%
66 BERGER Oliver - - 2% 11% 31% 41% 16%
67 DHINGRA Gian K. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
68 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 9%
69 ZENG Noah - 2% 11% 31% 38% 16% 1%
70 PRIMUS Nazir - - 5% 20% 39% 30% 6%
71 DENG Andrew 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
72 QIU Nathan - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
73 GONG Alex 32% 47% 18% 2% < 1% -
74 NG Jonathan - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
75 YAO JINCHENG - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28% 2%
76 LEE Aydan J. - 1% 10% 31% 40% 16% 2%
77 SU Landon 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
77 KANG Evan 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
79 SIERADZKY Dawson - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
79 YAN Kevin 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
81 OH Triton - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
82 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
83 SO Hananiah - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
83 SHIPITSIN Alexander 12% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
85 LIN Philip T. 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
86 KWALWASSER Eric - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
87 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
88 SAHAY Kenji 1% 10% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
89 BOSITA Carson 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
90 GLOZMAN Justin 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
91 HARVEY Nicholas J. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
92 LIN Nick 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
93 GREMILLION Obadiah 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
94 BAUER Hank E. 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
94 VAID Luke 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
96 RAMANAN Govind - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
97 YEN Darren - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
98 ROBERTS Sam - 1% 4% 15% 31% 34% 16%
98 TENG MATTHEW - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 1%
100 TIAGI Daniel 17% 42% 31% 8% 1% - -
101 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
102 POSY Daniel 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
103 MCPHEDRAN Spencer - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
104 SHOMAN Noah - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
105 YAO JINTAO - 3% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1%
105 SUN George 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
107 MAY Griffin M. 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
108 KALPATHY Rohit 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
108 YAN William 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
110 HOLZ Lucas 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
111 YANG Ziyi - 4% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
112 DECK Tyson 7% 26% 37% 24% 6% 1% -
113 CHEN Samuel 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
114 WITEK Bernard J. - - 1% 16% 46% 37%
115 KILARI Krish 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 2%
116 HOUTZ Jackson 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
117 CHAVES Matthew J. 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
118 STAMIS Kyle 9% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
119 CHUNG Connor 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
120 HONG Rubin 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
121 SIDDIQUI Shayan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
122 ANDREEV Ilia - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
123 YANG Dylan 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2% -
124 SKEETE Kamar A. - - < 1% 3% 20% 47% 30%
125 CHO Justin W. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
126 GOLDIN Lucca 8% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
126 GONG Jerry 14% 37% 34% 12% 2% - -
128 DIACOS Jordan - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
129 EYBELMAN Ariel 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
130 BERRIO Carter E. - - 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
131 SOWERS Samuel 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
132 MAKLIN Edward P. 4% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
133 ZEWDA Kebron 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
133 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
133 WANG ANDREW CHANG 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
136 BULL Anderson 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 12% 2%
136 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 2% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
138 FIELDS Matthew S. 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3% -
139 ERMAKOV Semeon 1% 7% 27% 39% 21% 5% -
140 JEFFORDS Alexander - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27% 1%
141 PI Alexander 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
142 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
143 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
144 MITO Xavier - 2% 10% 30% 37% 18% 2%
145 XU Ivan 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
146 FALCON-KORB Mathis 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
147 ZHANG Derek 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
148 JOO Jeein 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
149 SUBA Lucas 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
150 REYES Xavier M. - 2% 16% 43% 32% 7%
151 QUAN Nicholas - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
152 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
152 DUDNICK Christian 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
154 KUSHKOV Daniel 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
155 NGO Maximus 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
156 YERRAMILLI Tejas 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
156 KIM Theodore 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
158 GEFELL Andrew P. - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
159 LEE jia cheng dylan 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
160 RODRIGUEZ Roel 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
161 WANG William 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
162 MATTOO Surya 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
163 ZHAO Lucas 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
164 WANG Michael 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
165 POFF Kainoa 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
166 MCCARTHY Gabriel 1% 9% 24% 32% 24% 9% 1%
167 LEE Andrew 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
168 LIN Felix 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
169 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
170 PIWOWAR Alex 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
170 SO Preston 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
172 PAN Alex 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
172 BADUSHOV Anton 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
174 FANG Eason 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
175 HUA Michael 22% 47% 26% 5% 1% - -
176 ANAND Rohan 6% 28% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
177 CHEN Jonathan 11% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
177 MUNGUIA Nathan 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
179 SUGIURA Samuel 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
180 HWANG Jayden 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
181 ZHANG Yupeng 10% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
182 LIM Brandon 27% 47% 22% 3% - -
183 LIU Jerry 6% 31% 45% 16% 2% -
184 CHON Collin - 5% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
185 NG Jeremiah 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
186 WANG Jerry 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
187 SCHARDINE James 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
188 KIM ELIJAH 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
189 SUN Andrew 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
190 WESLER Logan A. 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
190 FARIDI Imran 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
192 WANG Daniel 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
193 WANG Max 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
194 MALAITHONG Nathagorn 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
195 TIAGI George 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
196 HERNANDEZ Stanton 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% - -
196 LIU Kevin 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% - -
198 CHENG Brandon 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
199 ATWOOD Griffin 21% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
200 MATTOO Deven 11% 33% 37% 16% 3% - -
200 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
202 ZUBATIY Samuel - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
202 HARTEL Davis 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
204 AL-NASSER Mahmoud - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
205 PRIEUR Christian F. 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
205 LINCOURT Arthur 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
207 LUEBBE Macklan C - 2% 10% 27% 37% 22% 2%
207 CHTERENTAL Alex 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
207 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
210 GAY Jono 13% 37% 34% 14% 2% - -
211 GREENBAUM Ian L. 3% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
212 WONG Lucas 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
213 KOVALEV Daniil N. 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
214 YANG Phillip 14% 35% 34% 14% 3% - -
215 TSAO Oliver 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
216 TAO Jeffrey 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
217 LI Matthew 40% 45% 14% 2% - - -
218 WANG Max 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
218 LI Ayden 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
218 UEMOTO Ken 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
221 LEVITT Teddy H. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.