January NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Friday, January 3, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
2 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
3 HOMER Daryl D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
3 HEATHCOCK Antonio 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
5 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
5 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
7 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 35%
7 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 56%
9 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
10 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 21%
11 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 14%
12 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
13 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 8%
14 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10% 1%
15 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
16 YE Eric 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 2% -
17 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
17 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
19 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
20 TSE Aiden J 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% < 1%
21 KIM Shawn J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
22 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
22 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
24 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
25 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
26 KANG Evan R. 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
27 WONG Tzer 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
28 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
29 REN James 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 6% -
30 GÉLINAS Marc 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
31 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 3%
32 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
33 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 14%
34 LIN Daniel 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3% < 1%
35 XU William 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
36 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
37 LEE Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
38 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
39 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
40 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 13%
41 ROBINSON William 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
42 LEE Noah 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 7% 1%
43 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 35%
44 NOFAL Zeyad 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
45 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
46 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
47 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 22% 4%
48 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19% 2%
49 KIM Kendrick 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
50 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
51 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
52 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
53 ANDRES Michael 100% 98% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
53 LEE Aidan 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% 1%
55 WANG Samuel 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
56 LIN Maxim 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
56 LI Howard 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
58 HU Chris 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 21% 2%
59 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
60 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
61 KATZ Ryan 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
62 PATEL Rayn 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4% -
62 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
64 ROE Finnegan 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
65 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
66 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
67 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 24%
68 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
69 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17% 1%
70 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
71 DENG Andrew 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
72 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
73 GONG Alex 100% 68% 21% 2% < 1% -
74 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
75 YAO JINCHENG 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 2%
76 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17% 2%
77 SU Landon 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
77 KANG Evan 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
79 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
79 YAN Kevin 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
81 OH Triton 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
82 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 99% 91% 66% 33% 9% 1%
83 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
83 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 88% 51% 16% 3% - -
85 LIN Philip T. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
86 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
87 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
88 SAHAY Kenji 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
89 BOSITA Carson 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
90 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
91 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
92 LIN Nick 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
93 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
94 BAUER Hank E. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
94 VAID Luke 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
96 RAMANAN Govind 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
97 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
98 ROBERTS Sam 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 50% 16%
98 TENG MATTHEW 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 14% 1%
100 TIAGI Daniel 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% - -
101 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
102 POSY Daniel 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
103 MCPHEDRAN Spencer 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
104 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
105 YAO JINTAO 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1%
105 SUN George 100% 96% 80% 50% 20% 5% -
107 MAY Griffin M. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
108 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
108 YAN William 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
110 HOLZ Lucas 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
111 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
112 DECK Tyson 100% 93% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
113 CHEN Samuel 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
114 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 37%
115 KILARI Krish 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
116 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
117 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
118 STAMIS Kyle 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
119 CHUNG Connor 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
120 HONG Rubin 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
121 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
122 ANDREEV Ilia 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
123 YANG Dylan 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
124 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
125 CHO Justin W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10%
126 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
126 GONG Jerry 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
128 DIACOS Jordan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
129 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
130 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
131 SOWERS Samuel 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
132 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 96% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
133 ZEWDA Kebron 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
133 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
133 WANG ANDREW CHANG 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
136 BULL Anderson 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 2%
136 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
138 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3% -
139 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 5% -
140 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28% 1%
141 PI Alexander 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
142 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2% -
143 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
144 MITO Xavier 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
145 XU Ivan 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
146 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
147 ZHANG Derek 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
148 JOO Jeein 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 3% -
149 SUBA Lucas 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
150 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 98% 82% 39% 7%
151 QUAN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
152 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
152 DUDNICK Christian 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
154 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
155 NGO Maximus 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
156 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
156 KIM Theodore 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
158 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
159 LEE jia cheng dylan 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
160 RODRIGUEZ Roel 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
161 WANG William 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
162 MATTOO Surya 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
163 ZHAO Lucas 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
164 WANG Michael 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
165 POFF Kainoa 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 6% -
166 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
167 LEE Andrew 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
168 LIN Felix 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
169 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
170 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
170 SO Preston 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
172 PAN Alex 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
172 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - -
174 FANG Eason 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
175 HUA Michael 100% 78% 32% 6% 1% - -
176 ANAND Rohan 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
177 CHEN Jonathan 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
177 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
179 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
180 HWANG Jayden 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
181 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
182 LIM Brandon 100% 73% 26% 3% - -
183 LIU Jerry 100% 94% 63% 18% 2% -
184 CHON Collin 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
185 NG Jeremiah 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
186 WANG Jerry 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
187 SCHARDINE James 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
188 KIM ELIJAH 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
189 SUN Andrew 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
190 WESLER Logan A. 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
190 FARIDI Imran 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
192 WANG Daniel 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
193 WANG Max 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
194 MALAITHONG Nathagorn 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3% -
195 TIAGI George 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
196 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
196 LIU Kevin 100% 91% 60% 21% 3% - -
198 CHENG Brandon 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
199 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
200 MATTOO Deven 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% - -
200 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
202 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26% 3%
202 HARTEL Davis 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
204 AL-NASSER Mahmoud 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
205 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
205 LINCOURT Arthur 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
207 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 2%
207 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
207 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
210 GAY Jono 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
211 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
212 WONG Lucas 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
213 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
214 YANG Phillip 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
215 TSAO Oliver 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% - -
216 TAO Jeffrey 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
217 LI Matthew 100% 60% 16% 2% - - -
218 WANG Max 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
218 LI Ayden 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
218 UEMOTO Ken 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
221 LEVITT Teddy H. 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.