January NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Friday, January 3, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCRUGGS Lauren S. - - - - - 6% 94%
2 LIU Jaelyn A. - - - - 6% 33% 61%
3 CHUSID Mikayla - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 13%
3 KIM Katherine - - 2% 17% 46% 34%
5 KONG Chin-Yi - - - 5% 22% 44% 28%
6 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
7 EYER Hailey M. - - 4% 23% 50% 23%
8 LUNG Katerina - - - 3% 18% 44% 36%
9 RHODES Zander - - - - - 6% 94%
10 LUO Ziyue - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
11 PEVZNER Victoria - - 1% 6% 23% 44% 26%
12 NISSINOFF Alexandra - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
13 WANG CAROL 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
14 SHEN Emilia - 4% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1%
15 CHEN Allison V. - 3% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1%
16 SONG Yuqiao Aprille - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
17 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. - - 1% 8% 26% 43% 22%
18 GOOR Viviene E. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
19 CHO Rebecca H. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
20 DAVIS Bonnie Z. - 2% 12% 32% 37% 15% 1%
21 LAI Sophia 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
22 DEVORE Delphine P. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
23 SHEN Lydia - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
24 YANG Iris 1% 8% 27% 38% 23% 5%
25 YANG Emma - 1% 7% 25% 43% 24% 1%
26 JING Emily - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
27 CHEN Jia P. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
28 HAYES Nadia - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
29 LIU Samantha 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
30 KORABLINA Aleksandra - - 2% 11% 33% 40% 14%
31 PALMER Meredith K. 3% 21% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
32 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. - - - < 1% 5% 33% 62%
33 LEE Lavender - - 1% 8% 30% 47% 13%
34 LAFFEY Jessie S. - - - - 4% 30% 65%
35 SUN Ruoxi - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
36 PETROVA Kristina - - 1% 9% 32% 47% 11%
37 ORVANANOS Anice 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
38 SAKAI Mako - 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4%
39 LEE Alina - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
40 CHEN Renee - 4% 20% 38% 28% 8% 1%
41 HU Felice 3% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
42 FEDELI Caterina S. - - 6% 30% 44% 19%
43 OUYANG Bridgette Z. - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9%
44 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
45 GU Maggie Runlin 1% 7% 26% 39% 22% 5% -
46 MI Aileen - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
47 GRIFFIN Emma G. - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
48 MU Allison 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
49 JANG Kimberley - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
50 YANG Audrey 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
51 LIU Joy Zhaoyi - 1% 8% 27% 41% 24%
52 CHO Emily (Euran) 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
53 HO Addison 9% 34% 39% 16% 2% -
54 MEI Sarah 2% 15% 37% 35% 10% 1%
55 SEO IRENE Y. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
56 CALISE Ella - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25% 1%
57 ZHANG Alina C. - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
58 LOCKE Savannah - 1% 8% 26% 40% 22% 4%
59 LI Eleanor 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
60 HSU Kaylin 2% 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
61 SHIM Grace J. 12% 39% 37% 10% 1% -
62 PARK Lina 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
63 TANG Melody Fujiao 5% 24% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
64 ZHAO Sophie L. - 5% 21% 37% 29% 7% -
65 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
66 HOSONO Rei W. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
67 ZHANG Eunice 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
68 ZHANG Soleil C. 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3% -
69 CASTANEDA Erika L. - - 5% 22% 40% 28% 6%
70 WANG Jasmine 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1% -
71 SHENG Chuxi - 4% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
72 TAN Kaitlyn N. - - 4% 24% 47% 25%
73 BREKER Anika - 1% 11% 38% 38% 12%
74 LESLIE Ryanne T. - - 1% 12% 43% 44%
75 BRYZGALOVA Svitlana 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
76 YAO Ada 5% 27% 43% 20% 4% -
77 DEL CURA Jara 24% 44% 26% 6% - -
78 BROWN Lola 20% 46% 27% 6% 1% - -
79 RANDOLPH Piper - - 3% 16% 38% 36% 7%
80 SUN Chloe - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12% -
80 LEUNG Mei Hang (Danise) 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
82 CHEN Chloe I. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
83 DENG Melissa 2% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
84 CHOW Annabelle - 2% 14% 35% 35% 12% 1%
85 RENTON Samantha - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
86 LI Sophia M. 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% - -
87 HAFEZ Tahiyah 31% 44% 20% 4% - - -
88 WANG Joanna 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
89 OH Ceana 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
90 ZHENG Julie 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
91 FIELD Julianna 2% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
92 LIN Zhi Tong 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
93 MINARIK Natalie M. - - 3% 22% 46% 29%
94 SWANSON Alexa 25% 46% 24% 4% - -
95 BAE Yooju 28% 46% 23% 3% - -
96 BIODROWICZ Julia 19% 44% 30% 7% 1% -
97 WANG YiXi 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
98 DONG Angela 21% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
99 WANDJI Anais - 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 3%
100 LI Shuang 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% - -
101 LI Han (Helina) 17% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
102 KIM Rachel - 6% 23% 38% 26% 6% -
102 LEE Jiahn (Lana) - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24% 1%
104 GRANHOLM Carolyn N. 2% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
105 WYNN Kylie 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
106 WANG SIQI 7% 30% 40% 20% 3% -
107 SHA Yi Ling 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
108 JOO Natalie 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
109 KNIGHT Skylar - < 1% 4% 20% 38% 29% 7%
110 MARKOVSKY Nina 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
110 PEVZNER Nicole 1% 12% 33% 35% 15% 3% -
112 LEE Fiona E. 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
113 YU Jane 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
114 HAO Danica 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
115 POEI Lauren 10% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
116 ZELDIN Nadia 35% 43% 18% 4% - - -
117 SAIFEE Lamya 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1% -
118 SERBAN Samantha M. - < 1% 4% 20% 41% 31% 4%
119 XIE Su 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
120 JO Mia C. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
121 FENG Grace 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
122 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
122 MANIKTALA Prisha 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% - -
124 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
125 WU Kyra 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
126 SUN Emily 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
127 FRANK Lauren 20% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
128 SWOPE Farren 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
129 LENK Sophie 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
129 MCFARLANE Asha 28% 44% 23% 5% - - -
131 MATZ Samantha J. 1% 7% 27% 42% 21% 3%
132 SHMAY Anastasia 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% -
133 MEYER Claudia 26% 44% 24% 5% - - -
134 KIM Sydney 28% 45% 23% 5% - - -
135 DUAN Sophie 24% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -
135 FENG Audrey 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
137 FIELD Elizabeth 35% 43% 18% 3% - -
138 ZHUANG Christina 31% 46% 20% 3% - - -
139 CASTANEDA Keira 14% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
139 YAN Noelle 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
139 SHMUKLER Maria 40% 43% 14% 2% - - -
142 SETHRE Traci 55% 36% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.