January NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Friday, January 3, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94%
2 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
3 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
3 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 34%
5 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
6 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
7 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 23%
8 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
9 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94%
10 LUO Ziyue 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
11 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 26%
12 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
13 WANG CAROL 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
14 SHEN Emilia 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
15 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 11% 1%
16 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
17 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 22%
18 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
19 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
20 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 1%
21 LAI Sophia 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
22 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
23 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
24 YANG Iris 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
25 YANG Emma 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25% 1%
26 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
27 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
28 HAYES Nadia 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
29 LIU Samantha 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
30 KORABLINA Aleksandra 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
31 PALMER Meredith K. 100% 97% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
32 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 62%
33 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 13%
34 LAFFEY Jessie S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
35 SUN Ruoxi 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
36 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 11%
37 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
38 SAKAI Mako 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
39 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
40 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 9% 1%
41 HU Felice 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
42 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 19%
43 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
44 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
45 GU Maggie Runlin 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5% -
46 MI Aileen 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
47 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
48 MU Allison 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
49 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
50 YANG Audrey 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
51 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
52 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
53 HO Addison 100% 91% 57% 19% 2% -
54 MEI Sarah 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1%
55 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
56 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 1%
57 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
58 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4%
59 LI Eleanor 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
60 HSU Kaylin 100% 98% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
61 SHIM Grace J. 100% 88% 48% 11% 1% -
62 PARK Lina 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% -
63 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
64 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8% -
65 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
66 HOSONO Rei W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
67 ZHANG Eunice 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
68 ZHANG Soleil C. 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3% -
69 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
70 WANG Jasmine 100% 96% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
71 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9% 1%
72 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
73 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 12%
74 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
75 BRYZGALOVA Svitlana 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
76 YAO Ada 100% 95% 67% 24% 4% -
77 DEL CURA Jara 100% 76% 32% 6% - -
78 BROWN Lola 100% 80% 34% 7% 1% - -
79 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 7%
80 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13% -
80 LEUNG Mei Hang (Danise) 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
82 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
83 DENG Melissa 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
84 CHOW Annabelle 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13% 1%
85 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
86 LI Sophia M. 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
87 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
88 WANG Joanna 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
89 OH Ceana 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
90 ZHENG Julie 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
91 FIELD Julianna 100% 98% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
92 LIN Zhi Tong 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
93 MINARIK Natalie M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 29%
94 SWANSON Alexa 100% 75% 28% 5% - -
95 BAE Yooju 100% 72% 26% 3% - -
96 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 81% 37% 7% 1% -
97 WANG YiXi 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
98 DONG Angela 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
99 WANDJI Anais 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
100 LI Shuang 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% - -
101 LI Han (Helina) 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
102 KIM Rachel 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6% -
102 LEE Jiahn (Lana) 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24% 1%
104 GRANHOLM Carolyn N. 100% 98% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
105 WYNN Kylie 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
106 WANG SIQI 100% 93% 63% 23% 3% -
107 SHA Yi Ling 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% -
108 JOO Natalie 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
109 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
110 MARKOVSKY Nina 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
110 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
112 LEE Fiona E. 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
113 YU Jane 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
114 HAO Danica 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
115 POEI Lauren 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
116 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
117 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1% -
118 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 4%
119 XIE Su 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% - -
120 JO Mia C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
121 FENG Grace 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
122 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
122 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% - -
124 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
125 WU Kyra 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
126 SUN Emily 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 2% -
127 FRANK Lauren 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
128 SWOPE Farren 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
129 LENK Sophie 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
129 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
131 MATZ Samantha J. 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 3%
132 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% -
133 MEYER Claudia 100% 74% 29% 6% - - -
134 KIM Sydney 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
135 DUAN Sophie 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
135 FENG Audrey 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
137 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 65% 22% 3% - -
138 ZHUANG Christina 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
139 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 86% 46% 14% 2% - -
139 YAN Noelle 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
139 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 60% 16% 2% - - -
142 SETHRE Traci 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.