Fairfax Challenge SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, September 21, 2019 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Oscar 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
2 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
3 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
5 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15%
6 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
7 GILMORE Thomas W. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
7 WOLFE-MCGUIRE George T. 100% 100% 99% 85% 47% 10%
9 PAN Andrew W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
10 SHTEYN Mark 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
11 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
12 KENNEDY Liam A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
13 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
14 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 94% 64% 23% 3%
15 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
16 LEE Justin 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2%
17 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 22% 3%
18 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
19 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
20 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
21 GRASS James D. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 1%
22 ZENG Noah 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
23 LE Hayden 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
24 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 96% 71% 29% 4%
25 TONG ZACHARY 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
26 LEONARD Charles 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
27 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
28 FORT David 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
29 COX Luis E. 100% 83% 28% 4% - -
30 YEE Evan J. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
31 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
32 ETIN Ari 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
33 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
34 BALDWIN Michael B. 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 3% -
35 HONG Steven 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
36 MEHTA Krish 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1%
37 WANG Andrew 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
38 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8% -
39 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
40 LOWHAM-RUZZO Alexander J. 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
41 SHERWOOD Hayden F. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
42 GAO Andrew 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
43 MOLINARO Lawrence 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
44 BENNETT III Carl 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
45 BAERMAN Michael 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
46 REN Richard 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
47 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
48 COSGROVE Connor R. 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
49 LARRAZOLO Vincent 100% 37% 4% - - -
50 HOLDEN Joseph 100% 66% 24% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.