Happy New Year Youth Foil

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, January 5, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Bay Area Fencing Pleasanton - pleasanton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 92% 63% 20%
2 PAN Samantha 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 LI Audrey 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21%
3 LAM Dorris Yandor 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
5 JOESUF Thea 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
6 ZHANG Katie Qingyun 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 3%
7 KHANAL Sarah 100% 99% 87% 55% 16%
8 GOWDA Adisha 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
9 SPICER-YOUAKIM Benjamin 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
10 THIMIRI Trishaan 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
11 CHOI Aaron 100% 96% 71% 30% 5%
12 JIN Jiyuan 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
13 WANG Ellen 100% 88% 53% 18% 3%
14 SHU Kayla 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
15 GU Evan 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% -
16 ZHU Claire 100% 79% 35% 6% -
17 DONG YIKUN 100% 90% 54% 16% 1%
18 LUO Olivia 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
19 CHEN Danica 100% 72% 29% 6% -
20 WANG Ian 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
21 HUEMMER Sophia 100% 93% 63% 23% 3%
22 DONG Nancy 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.