October NAC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, October 14, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Milwaukee, WI - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 UM Ethan A. - - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
2 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
3 SHIH William - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
3 LIN Richard W. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
5 CHOY Lucas B. - - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
6 LEE Caden - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
7 SINGH Dayaal - - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
8 CATLIN Adam - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
9 ZHAO Jason L. - - 4% 21% 39% 29% 8%
10 ORTIZ Zachary M. - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 1%
11 KIM Nicholas W. - - - 3% 19% 47% 31%
12 HERGERT Benito - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
13 LI Felix Z. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
14 PAZ Ethan - 1% 7% 26% 42% 21% 3%
15 LI Alex - 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
16 SUN Matthew 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1%
17 HEISE Dominic V. - - 2% 15% 38% 37% 8%
18 CHOI Ethan L. - - - 2% 17% 44% 37%
19 KONG Kenneth - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
20 WONG Anthony M. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
21 REALS Alden D. - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
22 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
23 ZHOU TIMMY - 1% 10% 39% 39% 11% 1%
24 HO Ryan J. 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
24 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
26 LONG Quinton R. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
27 HAINES Ethan - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
28 SANTIAGO Oscar J, 7% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
29 REGE Advaith 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
30 FREEDMAN Samuel E. - 2% 12% 33% 35% 15% 2%
31 WU Michael 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
32 WANG Duke R. 8% 33% 40% 16% 2% - -
33 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - - 2% 12% 35% 38% 13%
34 MA Alexander - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
35 MARTOS Jimmy - - 1% 6% 26% 42% 25%
36 MILLER Braeden G. - - - 5% 27% 47% 21%
37 JIMENEZ Diran - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
38 QIAN Michael - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
39 LOVERAS Orlando S. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
40 FARQUHARSON Cole 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
41 WU Alexander 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
42 WESTELIUS Isak R. - 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
43 SNYDER IV William B. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
43 ROCHEFORT Mathieu - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
45 KASI Sanjay - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 7%
46 CURLEY Sebastian D. 1% 13% 32% 34% 16% 4% -
47 WAN Jason - 9% 40% 36% 13% 2% -
48 SHIBU Pranav - 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2%
49 ZHENG Alan H. - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
50 TSAI Philip W. 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
51 LI Yulei - 7% 33% 40% 17% 3% -
52 HERGAN Luca A. - 2% 14% 36% 34% 12% 2%
53 BROOKES Scott L. 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
54 LEE Chris - - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12%
55 KIM Isaiah G. 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2% -
56 CARTER Lucas M. - 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
58 LEE Connor C. - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
59 HUTH Mitchell - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
60 GRISWOLD Abel B. 2% 15% 40% 33% 10% 1% -
61 SOMANI Dhruv - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
62 MURUHIN Yaroslav 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 8% 1%
63 MAO Connor - 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
64 FONG Colin J. 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
65 XIAO Enoch A. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
66 BALL James T. - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
67 GRANT Lachlan K. - - 1% 6% 29% 49% 16%
68 LEE Daniel C. - - - 2% 16% 44% 39%
69 LI Simon A. - - 8% 32% 40% 17% 2%
70 VANNI Filippo A. - 2% 9% 25% 34% 23% 6%
71 CHIN Jason Y. - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
72 FU Samuel Y. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
73 ANDERSON Colton J. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
74 VAN HAASTER Emile A. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
75 CHU Derek 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 2%
76 CRALEY Thomas M. - - 4% 18% 34% 32% 12%
77 PETREE Justin - 4% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
78 FERRARO Peter M. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
79 LAO Scott E. - - 3% 19% 41% 30% 7%
80 COOK John J. - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
81 STUART Alec J. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
82 MATHEWS Rocco J. 4% 26% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
83 HOWELL Thomas A. - 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
84 HSIUNG Richie 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
85 BAE Junnie 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
86 DAUGHERTY Sean 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
87 LIAO Alex J. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
88 ZHANG Andy W. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
88 MAHDI Mahdi 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
90 DZODZOS Michael 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
91 WILLETT Luc G. 19% 45% 28% 7% 1% - -
92 BREIER Matthew F. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
93 WU Jerry - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
94 MARSHALL Ian - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
95 NGUYEN Nish 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 6% -
96 YE Kevin E. - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
97 SANTULLI Tristan 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
98 KROLL August C. - 3% 16% 33% 33% 13% 2%
99 CHOI Samuel 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
100 OAKLAND Brennan D. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
101 CAHILL Nicholas D. - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
102 DELL George H. - 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
103 WU Nicholas 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
104 LI James 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
105 WITTENBERG Jackson H. 1% 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
106 CHO Jeremy Y. 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
107 GUPTA Eashan 4% 22% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
108 SUN Michael 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2% -
109 YI Stephen K. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
110 JANSEN Jesse 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
111 DARIANO Noah G. - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
112 AVRON Case B. 6% 30% 39% 20% 5% - -
113 MA Andrew 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
114 ANGLIN Benjamin S. 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
115 ADVINCULA Dash 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
116 GU Jeffrey 8% 55% 31% 6% 1% - -
117 BERGEN Thomas R. 3% 13% 28% 31% 18% 6% 1%
118 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
119 SZELA Tom J. 37% 44% 16% 2% - - -
120 YEROKHIN Michael N. - < 1% 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
121 DESHMUKH Ayush 24% 46% 25% 5% - - -
122 SOOD Kishan S. 2% 17% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
123 SPOSATO Luke B. 15% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
124 VAN BUREN Brett J. 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
125 HAN Andersen Y. 25% 44% 25% 5% 1% - -
126 SINHA Verdhaan 38% 46% 14% 2% - - -
127 ROBINSON Keegan B. 26% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
128 TOCCO Joseph A. 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
129 JIN Honggu 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
130 XIAO EDWARD 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
131 SWEENEY Quinn 14% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
132 WU Conrad J. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
133 GHAZALI Omer 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
134 MU Jeffrey 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
135 KIM Aaron 1% 13% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
136 TOK Philippe 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
137 ISKRA Kamil A. 8% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
138 NOWAK Joseph A. 44% 42% 13% 1% - - -
139 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 4% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
140 ASHIDA Tomoaki 4% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
142 PIERCE Logan 35% 45% 16% 3% - - -
143 YIM Alex 9% 32% 36% 18% 5% 1% -
144 LOUNDY Alexander J. 16% 40% 33% 10% 1% - -
145 HARDMAN III Harry C. 11% 47% 32% 9% 1% - -
146 DAUGHERTY Ron L. 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% - -
148 TAN Jacob J. 84% 16% 1% - - - -
148 SCHWARTZMAN Benjamin 15% 40% 34% 10% 1% - -
148 FAN Alex 56% 38% 6% - - - -
151 JUSCINSKI Michal 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
152 YUAN Gavin L. 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
152 BERNHARDT Hank 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
154 FRENCH Christopher L. 30% 46% 20% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.