January NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Saturday, January 4, 2025 at 9:30 AM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda - - - - - 9% 90%
2 POSSICK Lola P. - - - 2% 12% 38% 47%
3 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - - - 2% 16% 51% 31%
3 KIM Zoe - - - 5% 31% 64%
5 LEE Alexandra B. - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
6 THURGOOD Madison C. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
7 LU Vivian Y. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
8 GREENBAUM Atara R. - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
9 BOTELLO Natalia - - - 6% 33% 60%
10 TSUI Natalie - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
11 PAUL Lila - - 1% 9% 32% 45% 12%
12 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
13 PAK Kaitlyn - - - 1% 10% 46% 43%
14 MANKOVA Varvara 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
15 MCKEE Brynnley - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
16 VINOGOROVA Sofiia - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
17 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. - - - - 5% 29% 65%
18 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. - - - - 4% 36% 60%
19 CHIN Sophia J. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
20 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. - - - - 6% 34% 60%
21 ANDRES Charmaine G. - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 25%
22 HUAI Delilah - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
23 TABANGAY Heartlyn - 2% 10% 29% 38% 20% 2%
24 SO Catelyn - 1% 7% 25% 40% 24% 3%
24 LAURI Keira 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
26 SAYLES Nina R. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
27 LIU Sophie - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
28 DUCKETT Madison - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
29 ELBAKRY jana 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
30 FEARNS Zara A. - - 4% 17% 35% 34% 10%
31 FREEDMAN Janna N. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
32 WANG yining 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
33 VESTEL Mira B. - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
34 FEIG Sela - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 8%
35 CHANG Josephine S. - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 22%
36 WILLIAMS Chloe C. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
36 VADASZ Ibla P. - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
36 NATH Trisha - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 11%
39 SHTREVENSKY Maria - 3% 14% 33% 37% 14%
40 CHEN Xiaohan - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
41 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
42 DANTULURI Shalini 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
43 CHEN Ashley - 1% 7% 26% 41% 22% 2%
44 HILD Nisha - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
44 MERCHANT Aishwarya 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
46 YANG Lea 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1% -
47 BEVACQUA Aria F. - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
48 JEONG Katie 2% 16% 38% 33% 10% 1%
49 BERMAN greta 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
50 FAVO Isabella 4% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
51 SHEALY Maggie - 1% 10% 36% 44% 10%
52 ANTHONY Alexia B. - 1% 11% 33% 40% 15%
53 TONG Kunling - - 2% 11% 30% 40% 18%
53 LEE Hannah - - 3% 13% 30% 37% 17%
55 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
56 WANG Elysia - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
57 KIM Marley I. - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
58 MARTURANO Bridget H. - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
59 LIU Sydney 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
60 ATTIA Jasmine 3% 21% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
61 FERNANDEZ Martina - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
62 LIM Jaslene 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2% -
63 BROWN Emma - 5% 25% 45% 22% 2%
64 GEYER Carolina M. - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
65 FESTA Carina - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
66 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
67 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
68 BOIS Adele - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27% 1%
69 SHI Julia 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
70 WU Helen - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
71 MILLER Sky - - - 2% 17% 57% 23%
72 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
73 LU Elaine - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2%
73 LIU Zhi Jun 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
75 BLUM Leah I. - - 2% 13% 31% 37% 17%
75 DAI Olivia 11% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
77 ANDRES Katherine A. - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
78 JOHNSON Dagny L. - 3% 14% 31% 34% 15% 2%
78 MACKAY Katherine 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
80 LI Amanda C. - 3% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
81 LIN Nicole 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3% -
82 JUNG Irene - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
83 MUND Ruth 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
84 GUVEN Coco 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
85 DIECK Miranda P. 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
86 DONG Angel 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
87 JOHNSON Lauren - 4% 20% 41% 30% 5%
88 CALLAHAN Chase J. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
89 TANG Zhifei 9% 35% 40% 14% 2% -
90 KER Grace - 2% 12% 35% 39% 11% 1%
91 LIU Yifei - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
92 YUCEL Emine I. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
93 DANG Kelia 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
94 MANN Sophia J. 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
95 SENOGLU Irmak 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
96 YOUNG Charlotte G. 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
96 WANG Callie 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
98 TAN Adelyn 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
99 XIAO julie - 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
100 GHAYALOD reya - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
101 GOLDIN Nina 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
102 ERIKSON Kira R. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
102 XIONG Haojiao 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% -
104 CHUNG Hailey 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
105 KONDEV Elizabeth 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
106 FAN Alexandria 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
106 WALLER London 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
108 HUANG Doris 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
109 MALEK Zolie 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
110 HAMMERSTROM Aria 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
111 ZHANG XUANYI 1% 8% 30% 40% 19% 2%
112 DUDNICK Morgan 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
113 HU Anna 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
114 MARYASH Samantha 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
115 PRIEUR Lauren 11% 38% 37% 13% 1% -
116 BOYNTON Ainsley 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
117 ZENG Sarah 2% 15% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
118 OISHI Megumi - - < 1% - 6% 31% 63%
118 ZOLLER Noelle 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
120 JOHNSON Lydia - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
121 YU Holly 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
122 CROOKS Riley 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
123 LEOU Korina 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
124 CHIARELLI Valentina - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
125 SHI Cathleen - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
125 CHEN Elaine 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
127 OCA Merci 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
128 TSE Angelina 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
129 WEI JoyAnn 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
130 WONG Natalie 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
131 LU Amy - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
132 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
133 SATHYANATH Kailing - - 3% 17% 40% 33% 6%
133 MUNGUIA Mila 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
133 YUEN Nicole 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
133 LIU Kelly 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
137 NAYAK Antara 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
138 TONG Jessie 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
138 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
140 TENG EMMA 7% 25% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
140 KIM Satie 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
142 CASTELO Soleil 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
143 CONG Anne 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
144 ARNOLD Hali 7% 30% 38% 19% 5% 1% -
145 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
146 LIU kai yin aria 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
147 DHAR Layla 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
148 BUHAY Kirsten M. 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
149 YAM Danika 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
150 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 35% 44% 18% 3% - -
150 CHAVAN Arya 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
152 COLTER Aurora 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
153 VENTURA Eva 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
154 AWAD Royce 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% - -
155 GUGALA Hanna 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
156 ZHANG Chenfei 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1% -
157 GOLOVITSER Maya 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
158 LIGH Erenei J. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
159 GAUTAM Sahana 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5% -
160 LIU Hannah 8% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
160 LI Sonia 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
162 CHAN Jolene 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
163 MAKLIN Sofia 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
164 ARNECKE Lauren A. 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1% -
165 WANG Jiayi 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
165 BROWN Aria 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
167 KINKADE Ellie 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
167 GENTILE Vittoria 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
169 CREUSOT Julia D. 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
170 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
170 XIE Nora 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
172 DAVIS Jayna M. 2% 15% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
172 HSU Leah 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
174 WHELAN Brynn M. 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
175 LUKER Hannah 20% 41% 29% 8% 1% - -
176 XU Emily T. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
177 GAY Sasha 19% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
178 KANG Ellie 40% 43% 15% 2% - -
179 LEE Alyson 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
180 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 4% 23% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
181 LIN Elaine 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% -
182 ZUO Xiaofan < 1% 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
183 GLUCK Myriam 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
184 HASSAN Aziza R. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.