January NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Saturday, January 4, 2025 at 9:30 AM

Kansas City Convention Center - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
2 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 31%
3 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
5 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
6 THURGOOD Madison C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
7 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
8 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
9 BOTELLO Natalia 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
10 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
11 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 12%
12 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
13 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 43%
14 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
15 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
16 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
17 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65%
18 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 60%
19 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 33% 5%
20 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
21 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 25%
22 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
23 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
24 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
24 LAURI Keira 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
26 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
27 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
28 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
29 ELBAKRY jana 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
30 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
31 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
32 WANG yining 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
33 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
34 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 8%
35 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
36 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
36 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
36 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
39 SHTREVENSKY Maria 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
40 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
41 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
42 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
43 CHEN Ashley 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24% 2%
44 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
44 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
46 YANG Lea 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1% -
47 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
48 JEONG Katie 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
49 BERMAN greta 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
50 FAVO Isabella 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
51 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 10%
52 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 15%
53 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
53 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
55 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 98% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
56 WANG Elysia 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
57 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
58 MARTURANO Bridget H. 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
59 LIU Sydney 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
60 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 97% 76% 38% 11% 2% -
61 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
62 LIM Jaslene 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2% -
63 BROWN Emma 100% 100% 94% 70% 25% 2%
64 GEYER Carolina M. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
65 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 6%
66 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5% -
67 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
68 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29% 1%
69 SHI Julia 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
70 WU Helen 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
71 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 23%
72 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
73 LU Elaine 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
73 LIU Zhi Jun 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
75 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
75 DAI Olivia 100% 89% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
77 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
78 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
78 MACKAY Katherine 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
80 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
81 LIN Nicole 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3% -
82 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
83 MUND Ruth 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
84 GUVEN Coco 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
85 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
86 DONG Angel 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
87 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 5%
88 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 8%
89 TANG Zhifei 100% 91% 56% 16% 2% -
90 KER Grace 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12% 1%
91 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
92 YUCEL Emine I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
93 DANG Kelia 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
94 MANN Sophia J. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
95 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
96 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
96 WANG Callie 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
98 TAN Adelyn 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
99 XIAO julie 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
100 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
101 GOLDIN Nina 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
102 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
102 XIONG Haojiao 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
104 CHUNG Hailey 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
105 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4% -
106 FAN Alexandria 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
106 WALLER London 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
108 HUANG Doris 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
109 MALEK Zolie 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
110 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
111 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 2%
112 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
113 HU Anna 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
114 MARYASH Samantha 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
115 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 89% 52% 14% 2% -
116 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
117 ZENG Sarah 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 4% -
118 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
118 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
120 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 1%
121 YU Holly 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
122 CROOKS Riley 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
123 LEOU Korina 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
124 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
125 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
125 CHEN Elaine 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
127 OCA Merci 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
128 TSE Angelina 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
129 WEI JoyAnn 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
130 WONG Natalie 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
131 LU Amy 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
132 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
133 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 6%
133 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
133 YUEN Nicole 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
133 LIU Kelly 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
137 NAYAK Antara 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
138 TONG Jessie 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
138 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
140 TENG EMMA 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
140 KIM Satie 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
142 CASTELO Soleil 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
143 CONG Anne 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
144 ARNOLD Hali 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
145 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
146 LIU kai yin aria 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
147 DHAR Layla 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
148 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
149 YAM Danika 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
150 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
150 CHAVAN Arya 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
152 COLTER Aurora 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
153 VENTURA Eva 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
154 AWAD Royce 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
155 GUGALA Hanna 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
156 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1% -
157 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
158 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 6% -
159 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5% -
160 LIU Hannah 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% - -
160 LI Sonia 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
162 CHAN Jolene 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
163 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
164 ARNECKE Lauren A. 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1% -
165 WANG Jiayi 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
165 BROWN Aria 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
167 KINKADE Ellie 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
167 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
169 CREUSOT Julia D. 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
170 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
170 XIE Nora 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
172 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
172 HSU Leah 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
174 WHELAN Brynn M. 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
175 LUKER Hannah 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% - -
176 XU Emily T. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
177 GAY Sasha 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
178 KANG Ellie 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
179 LEE Alyson 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
180 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
181 LIN Elaine 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
182 ZUO Xiaofan 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
183 GLUCK Myriam 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
184 HASSAN Aziza R. 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.