Future Stars Senior Foil New Year's Cup

Div II Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Future Stars Fencing - Flushing, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 THOMAS Liam 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
2 MENDEZ Ingrid 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
3 LIN Lucas 100% 97% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
3 WANG Xicheng 100% 98% 88% 64% 33% 11% 2% -
5 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 2%
6 XING David 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
7 PETERSON Dale 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
8 LIU Yinuo 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
9 STEIN Noah 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
10 WAN Celine 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% - -
11 TAPLIN Aaron 100% 97% 81% 52% 23% 7% 1% -
12 MERCADO Madilyn 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
13 NEGGIE James 100% 99% 94% 77% 49% 21% 5% 1%
14 CHING Ethan 100% 76% 27% 4% - - -
15 HOU Yishan 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.