2025 SPA Invitational

Unrated Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, January 12, 2025 at 8:45 AM

Macalester Field House - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
2 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 TAN Xinlai 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
4 GARSKE James 100% 100% 98% 84% 43% 5%
5 NAIDL Josiah 100% 100% 96% 59%
6 TOEWS Jackson 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
7 LINEBERRY Caden 100% 97% 71% 14% < 1%
8 MENASCO Juliun 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
9 PHONPRASANSACK Grayson 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 10%
10 RUBY Asher 100% 88% 50% 14% 1%
11 MARTIN Wesley 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
12 GLOVER George 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
13 DIFRANK Tae 100% 92% 52% 8%
14 BERSCHEID Arthur 100% 100% 93% 58%
15 ZINSER Jamie 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
16 HASHMI Mushaf 100% 98% 80% 36% 4%
17 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 93% 65% 26% 5%
18 DRAWZ Chase 100% 100% 93% 59% 9%
19 DING Zilin 100% 100% 97% 81% 39% 3%
20 FEEHAN Conor 100% 78% 34% 6% < 1% -
21 NEELIMANDHU Sahil 100% 86% 47% 12% 1%
22 AHNEMANN Leif 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
23 HOKANSON Braddock 100% 80% 33% 3% -
24 JARCHO Beckett 100% 99% 79% 23%
25 ZHANG Alexander 100% 95% 69% 24% 2% -
26 PETERSON Quinn 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% -
27 BURCHILL Carter 100% 100% 100% 97% 47%
28 MOGENSEN Ezra 100% 49% 9% -
29 HUANG Kai 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
30 BASTODKAR Ved 100% 86% 46% 11% 1%
31 IBARRA Alejandro 100% 98% 81% 37% 4%
32 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden 100% 90% 56% 18% 1%
33 CAPERS Hunter 100% 98% 83% 49% 14%
34 POLYZOIS Alkis 100% 60% 16% 1% -
35 YATES Graeme 100% 85% 38% 7% - -
36 YANG Haopeng 100% 100% 93% 66% 22%
37 BELL Andrew 100% 89% 55% 17% 1%
37 CHRISTENSEN Jack 100% 87% 43% 7%
39 FANG Ethan 100% 82% 36% 6% -
41 ANDERSON Norse 100% 94% 64% 19% 1%
42 KRUEGER Benjamin 100% 100% 93% 60% 19% 2%
43 FERRARA Asher 100% 96% 69% 26% 4% -
44 BEDARD Bennett 100% 86% 37% 6% -
45 UNGLAUB Maxwell 100% 54% 13% 1% -
46 ROY Griffin 100% 94% 64% 23% 3% -
47 BAUER Elijah 100% 99% 82% 40% 7%
48 STELLPFLUG Zachary 100% 89% 28% 2%
49 SUNDSBAK Evan 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
50 WANG Allan 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28%
51 CRUZ Cole 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
53 BOMGARDNER Ben 100% 24% 1% -
54 BALDERES Gavin 100% 85% 37% 6% -
55 PEICHEL Joshua 100% 99% 81% 41% 9%
56 BERCHENKO Zachary 100% 85% 46% 12% 1%
57 CASEY Liam 100% 79% 30% 5% - -
57 WINTERS Linus 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
59 ZERR Daemin 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 1%
60 AHRENS Declan 100% 99% 82% 41% 9% -
62 ENGLERT Brayden 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
64 KOTCH Brodie 100% 89% 45% 9% 1% -
65 SKIBELL Cyrus 100% 57% 13% 1% -
66 THOMAS Asher 100% 100% 98% 80% 22% 2%
67 FREEMAN Julian 100% 98% 79% 37% 7%
68 CARDIN Harvey 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
70 LIMKE Sean 100% 99% 81% 41% 9%
71 PERRY Eli 100% 99% 90% 59% 19%
73 WEED Matthew 100% 99% 87% 53% 15% 1%
74 BUTLER Aurelius 100% 67% 25% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.